Archive for January 16th, 2020

Alarmism Saves Lives Better Than The Alternative, Sleeping At The Wheel. Climate Crisis Exploding Now

January 16, 2020

Faced with climatic Armageddon, deniers love to brandish irrelevances. Such as pretending there are no solutions… Or that none were presented, nor available. Something completely false: solutions could have been deployed 30 years ago, massively. Now the rise of cheap photovoltaics has made the hydrogen economy irresistible.

Consider:

TERMINAL GREENHOUSE CRISIS

A crash tech program is needed. It has to involve hydrogen.

And of course, one should use all possible solutions, simultaneously. American denial about climate in the Twentieth First Century is reminiscent of American denial when Nazism came around. As then, it was in the best interest of the US to make a bad situation worse: what nobody wants to say, and nobody dares say… except for those drunk on truth.  

No deliberate motion ever happened without emotion.

Global Earth temperatures with baseline. Sure starting to look like an exponential… A mathematical proof that “Global Warming” is starting to feed on itself (because the emissions have stalled). Source: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies | Anomalies shown relative to the average temperature between 1951 and 1980…when quite a bit of warming had already occured! So the limit to 1.5 degree centigrade Climate Sheep gloat about is to be taken with a very large quantity of salt… There is evidence human engineered global warming started thanks to mass herding, more than 7,000 years ago, boosting the Methane in the air (cows make CH4… not rabbits).

On 28 March 1939, the Spanish Republic surrendered Madrid to the Fascists and Nazis. Franco’s army was transported from Morocco by the Nazi air force, fueled by Texaco. (Because the Navy was Republican.)

At that point, Britain saw the error of her way, and decided to join the French Republic in blocking the Nazis (and was added in the notes of the Franco-Polish treaty). However, all was quiet on the American front, as the Nazis’ racism fit well with US racism, and besides, Nazi Germany was a US business province. 

Now, right, for the US Deep Private-Public state, the situation was perfect and getting better. However, at the very least, US Jews should have got alarmed. And although US losses in World War Two were neglectable relative to some European countries and empires, they nevertheless amounted to one US citizen dead, out of 300.       

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Now we are facing an incomparable calamity, the Sixth Mass Extinction… But it’s not viewed as such, because of the lack of alarm. The gentle words are supposed to evoke it:…”Global Warming” (why not global soothing, as we are at it?)

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Alarmism saves lives. Had the USA declared war to the Nazis in June 1940, France would not have ceased fire, and, in the end, the deliberate massacre by the Nazis of dozens of millions of civilians and war prisoners, would not have happened (because the France would have advertised this massacre as a legitimate state… at worst, from North Africa). Also neither Italy, nor Japan would have entered war on the side of the Nazis (being scared of the USA, and now definitively knowing the USA was in the war). 

Alarmism saves lives. I am a mountaineer, and climber. Some of my best friends were top notch professional mountaineers, or climbers. A difference with me was my caution, due to my latent alarmism… In spite of my alarmism, I miraculously survived a giant rock avalanche, falling off a giant death gully, and then stopping my fall before yanking my partner out: even alarmism won’t protect from the hand of fate. In any case, my less cautious friends died, and, in one case at least I know I would not have made the mistake (I refuse to engage in possible slab avalanche terrain, once identified)

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CLIMATE SCIENTISTS ARE NOT ALARMIST ENOUGH:

Scientists try to sound reasonable, and thus warn their ultimate paymasters, politicians, that temperatures will rise. But they are prudent, and don’t want to sound alarmist, so they eschew dangerous inputs they can’t predict, roll out averages. 

However, this is not what they should be doing. In aviation, or rocket science, engineers try to determine the  worst possible case… to avoid it. 

Climate scientists, when warning about possible climate evolutions, should consider the worst possible cases. They are not doing this presently.

What is the worst possible case? That the present warming will trigger natural heating mechanisms, and other disasters.

First, there are billions of tons of methane ice on the Siberian continental shelf, which is gigantic. At some point, when the ocean is warm enough, they will release. Methane is more than 25 times more entrapping to infrared than CO2.

Second, and worse, the CO2 going massively in the ocean, turns to carbonic acid and kills oxygen making plankton. That, in combination with increased oxidation will bring a decrease of the oxygen content of the atmosphere. Oxygen content is already collapsing in the ocean, to the point of creating “dead zones” which fishes such as marlins have to avoid, lest they die of asphyxiation. 

So this climate crisis is not just about “warming” something globally. What we are witnessing, and causing, is a mass extinction through a collapse of the biosphere, as happened last 65 millions years ago. It would be good if scientists said it straight, as it is… and evoke the worst possible case (increasing likely, as coal burning is augmenting in many countries)… Instead of pretending we are living in the best possible world, just as the Titanic passengers lived in the best possible ship… after it hit the iceberg, and everything worked just as well as it did minutes prior.  

We should use what I call “Catastrophic Calculus” to evaluate the climate Crisis… the same sort of calculus made when building rockets, or planes. It makes sense: Earth is our spaceship… And we have only one. Failure is not an option. Earth can’t burn, but it will, and it has started to do so, because the same clowns with the same reduced cognitivo emotional mindset, keep on ruling.

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MORAL DERANGEMENT SYNDROME: Obsess About Red Herrings To Hide The Real Problems

Just contemplate criminal against humanity Nancy Pelosi claim that “Trump betrayed the nation”. Maybe Trump did, it’s very far from clear. What is clear, though, is that Pelosi betrayed humanity by enabling “George” to keep on lying about his pretext to invade Iraq… and thus foster his real aim, which was to destroy Iraq (as an oil producer). Those who take for granted that Pelosi didn’t betray humanity when plotting to destroy Iraq have much in common with those Germans for whom Hitler was morally elevating: they suffer terminal moral-cognitive disorder, refusing absolutely to inquire about a catastrophe they caused.

However, most “Democrats” consider that Pelosi is a moral figure, and she is the first to claim that elevated position. Yet, as she is “impeaching” Trump, she is doing nothing about the Mass Extinction out there. So Pelosi and her followers and admirers impose a value system where obsessing about one individual is incomparably more important than putting measures in place to mitigate what is going on, the entire planet burning.  

The inchoate maximal holocaust out there, this Mass Extinction, is, at this point, first of all, a moral failure. 

Patrice Ayme