IF YOU WANT PEACE, PREPARE FOR NUCLEAR WAR


SI VIS PACEM, PARA BELLUM NUCLEI

Any concession to tyrant Putin will make his bellicose drive worse. Appeasement will only tell him that he has got to be right, he is winning, and he is on the right path. We have seen that movie with Hitler. The drama with the Sudetenland in 1938 has much in common with the drama in the Donbas, including a dictator screaming that minorities were in mortal danger, and sham referenda: Hitler had been elected in part on the promise of protecting what he claimed were abused German minorities. 

Thus Pangermanism wanted to annex the Sudeten to Germany. However, Hitler was not so ridiculous as to pretend that the Sudeten inhabitants were victims of a genocide at the hands of the Czechs. He proposed an annexation referendum, overseen by the German army, though. The Czeks refused, France mobilized, so Hitler proposed a peace conference, at Munich, during which a piece of Czechoslovakia was given to Germany.

Putin’s discourse about a (completely imaginary) “genocide”in the Donbas is worse than Hitler’s raging statements about the Sudeten. A first attempt to propose a referendum of the Sudeten about annexation overseen by the German army was blocked by a war threat from France [1].   Hitler was given land at Munich in 1938… To appease him. 

That appeasement was not just a weakness, it gained time, the way France and the UK looked at it at the time (they were wrong). France and the UK did not have the USA with them, and Britain had basically no army (same as in 1914). The US was neither diplomatically, nor economically, nor politically or militarily with its parents, France and Britain. Roosevelt had named pro-fascist ambassadors to the UK and Germany, and hordes of US plutocrats were making the fascists regimes prosperous, well invested and fueled [2]. 

For many years, the New York Times, and other US media, did their best to ignore Hitler’s exactions, even while the German dictator was notoriously killing millions of minorities, and occupied democracies.

While Hitler was momentarily appeased, Britain was frantically equipping itself with a huge state of the art air force. France and the UK felt that time worked in their favor, militarily, because of their great empires.

Hitler invaded Austria in March, a day before a planned referendum on annexation by Germany (similar to Putin and his sham referenda).  After weakening Czechoslovakia militarily, grabbing its defense lines, Hitler invaded the rest. When getting ready to invade Poland, Hitler allied himself with the Kremlin (to add to his alliances with Italy, Japan and Spain). This time, France and the UK declared war.

The NYT, and pseudo-progressives paid by Putin, are at it again with the Kremlin nuclear tyrant: “If [giving part of Ukraine to Putin] happens, a territorial settlement will be reached and the global rules-based international order will be re-established”… bleats hopefully Mr. Brooks (who censored my comment contradicting his wish to give much of Ukraine to Putin) 

Appeasing a dictator who, because of his dreams of glory, threatened to extinguish humanity, is criminal nonsense. Putin is obsessed with taking Ukraine. Any negotiated settlement will just give him time to re-arm and return with greater force and greater threats. Feed Putin, like a bear, or a tiger, he will come back. The only way to end the threat is to eliminate Putin. If not eliminated, he will come back. 

***

Hitler had to keep on attacking, lest the German army and Volk turned against him: too many things, including democracy and the economy, had turned sour in Germany (same with Russia today). The exact parallel is true in Russia today: war powers protect a dictator. Given any piece of Ukraine, Putin will come for more, including the Baltic and Poland

The New York Times did its best to ignore Hitler’s exactions, even while the German dictator was notoriously killing millions of minorities, and occupied democracies.

The NYT is at it again with the nuclear tyrant; the NYT, and many other media, propose appeasement with Putin: “If [giving part of Ukraine to Putin] happens, a territorial settlement will be reached and the global rules-based international order will be re-established.” This is criminal nonsense. It’s akin to appeasing a rapist who threatened to kill the victim and onlookers, by proposing to him to rape the victim just a bit, to reestablish order. Putin is obsessed with taking Ukraine. Any negotiated settlement will just give him time to re-arm and return with greater force and greater threats. He will come back. The only way to end the threat is to eliminate Putin. If not eliminated, he will come back. 

***

We have an extremely similar situation now with what happened with Hilter and his fascist allies in 1937-1940. However, many have learned this history, and thus opted to act differently. This is why 27 European countries, including traditional neutrals such as Sweden and Switzerland are sending weapons to Ukraine. (Sweden and Switzerland helped Nazism for many years, often crucially), France is not taking orders from Biden, and yet, has switched to war production of many of its most sophisticated weapons, after sending 25% of its mobile high precision CAESAR guns to Ukraine.

The easiest way out of Nazism occurred in 1937 when the German High Command, led by General Beck, prepared a coup against Hitler. Stupidly, they searched for help in the Uk and US. The German army asked the US and UK to stand officially against Hitler (thus supporting France, Hitler’s dedicated enemy). The German army leaders would then make a coup, arguing to the German Volk that Hitler was an existential threat to Germany. 

 The best course for peace is then, as horrible as it may sound, to prepare for nuclear war. There is simply no alternative. Any concession to Putin is a concession to a group of criminals who threatened this week to “use strategic nuclear weapons against the West for their occupation of Ukraine“.

If the Russian army realizes Russia faces annihilation, it will make a coup.

If the West is ready to fight a nuclear exchange, the Russian army will find itself in the situation that German generals naively looked for in 1937: having a good excuse for a coup. So the West has to get ready, and has to scramble into world war mass production, especially of anti-missile systems [3] (which do exist; but recently the US had just one, around Washington, while France had eleven, and sent one to Romania to protect a major Franco-American base there…) 

Some will object that nuclear war is unthinkable, that I am thinking the unthinkable. But so did Putin, and for more than a decade. The strategy of going nuclear in a conventional conflict is called by Putin’s valets: “escalate to de-escalate“. There is little doubt that nuclear weapons should be unlawful. Only a few should be left, under UN supervision, in case a comet comes our way, or some rogue criminal organization develops weapons of mass destruction (chemical, biological, etc.), and needs to be taken out. An example of such a gang of criminals is the Putin gang. The UN has established that war crimes were committed, including rape, torture and execution of children as young as 4. Putin’s lovers, of which there are many throughout the West, have also to answer these crimes, which they approve of, by denying they happened, similarly to the most fanatical Nazis in 1945.

Their reasons are vile: we know Putin spent at least half a billion on infliuencers, worldwide. Those influencers using Kremlin propaganda should be jailed and prosecuted (in this order: this is the greatest war, we have to switch to military law and traitors to civilizations should be soped, that is, arrested.)

So we have a criminal gang, armed to the teeth with the world’s biggest arsenal of nukes. But nukes cost a lot of money to keep functioning as anticipated, and we have to rely upon the hope that there a re semi-decent individuals in the Russian military whose sadomasochism is not so high that they will try to destroy civilization. Meanwhile, scrambling for anti-missile systems, potential evacuation of cities, and reactivation of old Western nukes should be the order of the day.

As the old French saying has it:

“A la guerre, comme à la guerre”…

In war, as in war. 

Patrice Ayme

***

[1] The Czechs announced on 28 September 1938 that they rejected Hitler’s proposal of an annexation referendum (the  Godesberg Memorandum). France ordered the mobilization of 600,000 men. The Royal Navy was also mobilized the same day.

Hitler feared a war against Czechoslovakia, Britain and France. He agreed to Chamberlain’s proposal for a further meeting the next day, now at Munich, between four heads of government, Chamberlain for Britain, Hitler for Germany, Prime Minister Daladier for France and Mussolini for Italy, with no Czech (!!!) or Soviet participation. On 1 October, a pact was signed which provided for possession of the Sudeten Province to be transferred to Germany, with Britain and France guaranteeing the new borders of Czechoslovakia. On 1 October, German troops marched into the Sudetenland, which was immediately incorporated into Germany. Some 115,000 Sudeten Czechs and 30,000 Sudeten Germans, fled to what was left of Czechoslovakia. By 1 March 1939, the number of refugees,  including Social Democrats, Communists and Jews, was reported by the Institute for Refugee Assistance to stand at 150,000

***

[2]… to replace his friend the historian Dodd who thought war against Hitler was necessary. Throughout the war, US president FDR looked more interested in weakening France and Britain, and instrumentalized various fascists, Hirohito, Mussolini, Hitler, Franco and Stalin to do so. Warning: this is nearly 100% in contradiction with the official version of history… But that version is wrong, and that’s demonstrated in many of my essays, detail after detail… 

***

[3] Western anti-missile systems do exist; but recently the US had just one (built in cooperation with Norway), around Washington DC, while France had eleven, and sent one to Romania to protect a major Franco-American base there…

 

France pursued a series of nuclear tests from 1966 through 1996 at Mururoa Atoll, French Polynesia. This photograph is from the 914-kiloton Licorne (Unicorn) test, July 3, 1970. Fangataufa is permanently uninhabited. It is classified as a Common Military Zone. The zone includes the lagoon areas enclosed by the atoll and by baselines linking the closest points emerging from the reef on both sides of the channel. Entry is prohibited without authorization. A standard strategic missile on a French SSBM submarine carries a higher destructive power than the bomb above (as it can spread 20% more power over a much larger area with ten warheads. The same SSBM can carry 16 such missiles. The US SSBM can carry even more missiles. Together, France, Uk, and US have 22 such submarines…

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18 Responses to “IF YOU WANT PEACE, PREPARE FOR NUCLEAR WAR”

  1. Paul Handover Says:

    I was born in London six months before the end of WWII. I can still recall the bombed buildings and, in hindsight, my parents wished to protect me, in the stories of how WWII started, for many years.
    Thus there is a sort of innocence about my attitude to massive wars that still pervades all these years later.
    Thus, Patrice, your essay is an excellent one on Putin, or more to the point, what to do in the face of his attempt to start a new war, that may possibly become World War III.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Patrice Ayme Says:

      Thanks Paul.
      Putin has refused to acknowledge that there is a war between him/Russia and Ukraine. So we can all maintain the fiction that there is no World War.
      But the threats from the Russian Security Council, in the words of its vice chair, Medvedev, were very explicit, and directed against Washington, London and Brussels…
      Standing firm is the best survival strategy at this point.

      Liked by 2 people

  2. JackSirius Says:

    Regarding “Si Vis Pacem, Para Bellum Nuclei, it is interesting that you use the language of the Roman Empire to promote the actions of the American Empire.

    It is also notable that the Roman writer Vegetius wrote the original dictum just prior to the fall of the Roman Empire.

    (BTW, you do not pass the Turing test.)

    Liked by 1 person

    • Patrice Ayme Says:

      Europe, population 600 millions, is united in opposing Putin, manu militari. Obsessing with the “American Empire” owning all European minds is itself imperialist, because it assumes, in a US obsessed way, that Europe is made of US puppets, with no minds of their own, and not revolted by Putin’s thugs raping, torturing and killing children as young as 4, as the UN just found out.

      Vegetius didn’t write what I wrote, he wrote :”Igitur quī dēsīderat pācem, præparet bellum”. The famous adage was much older, but its origins are unknown, like cave canem….

      Vegetius’ work is a thousand year old compilation of military science and, far from promoting what needed to be done in his time, total mobilization, he promoted very small military formations… So he worked for the oligarchy.

      How the Roman state fell is directly traceable to the crushing of the Western Roman army of the Frank Arbogast by Alaric’s GOTHS, front line forces of the Catholic fanatic Theodosius I and his obsession with heresy. Roman oligarchy prefered to allied itself with the invading Germans, rather than arming We The People. Fortunately, WTP is raising in Ukraine.

      Liked by 1 person

  3. J M Hatch Says:

    Who threatened China, Iran, North Korea, (North) Vietnam, etc. etc. with nuclear distruction? and who used nuclear weapons on civilians? You are a first class troll, but you’re also a first class turd sinking up the world.

    The US military has to be told that, in case of nuclear exchange, USA would face annihilation. Their duty is then to arrest their rogue leaders.

    The Canadian military has to be told that, in case of nuclear exchange, Canada would face annihilation. Their duty is then to arrest their rogue leaders.

    The German military has to be told that, in case of nuclear exchange, Germany would face annihilation. Their duty is then to arrest their rogue leaders.

    The Japanese military has to be told that, in case of nuclear exchange, Japan would face annihilation. Their duty is then to arrest their rogue leaders.

    etc. etc. ad nauseum…

    Liked by 1 person

    • Patrice Ayme Says:

      Patrice Ayme
      3 hr ago
      I don’t know anyone who threatened these countries you quote with nuclear destruction.

      The atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki terminated the war within one week., as Japan decided to lay down its arms 10,000 Chinese civilians were dying each day from Japanese military action. Many of the fanatics in the Japan military most connected to Japan war criminality committed suicide… For example the entire Kamikaze command. However that was not a higher percentage than how many top Nazis committed suicide.

      We just need to arrest a gang of criminals in the Kremlin. Hopefully lower level officers will arrest their rogue leaders. Putin just named a notorious war criminal (in Syria) as deputy defense minister.

      BTW, it cost a lot of money and expertise to keep nukes in working order. It’s not clear how well Putin’s nukes work.

      Liked by 1 person

      • J M Hatch Says:

        “I don’t know anyone who threatened these countries you quote with nuclear destruction. ”

        Easy enough not to see that with your head stuck well up your ass that instead of feces fabricates fabrications. Ignorance is no crime, but willful ignorance should be. BTW, neat trick, touch typing and otherwise making your way in life, the blind do it, but not with your tricked out anatomy.

        Liked by 1 person

  4. Susan Mercurio Says:

    I’m sorry, but reading your regurgitation of the establishment propaganda, brought to you by your friendly local TV station newsroom, is sickening.

    Such a fine mind gone to waste.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Patrice Ayme Says:

      Thanks about the fine mind. I am happy then that, according to you, the establishment and TV stations (what’s the difference?) are now regurgitating what I have said for decades, and which is indeed sickening. A job well done, then.

      Liked by 1 person

  5. K. Quinn Says:

    How do you manage to stay on the good side of the Twitter arbiters? The EUkrainians and a whack of other ubernenschen have to be reporting you constantly. Ever been suspended?

    Liked by 1 person

    • Patrice Ayme Says:

      Good question. I have been cancelled on a permanent basis from a number of media (Daily Kos, The Guardian, etc.). In case of The Guardian I was told by someone who knew somebody on the Board that there had been a 50 million dollars, gift from Gates of Hell, and Bill didn’t like me at all. I had direct confirmation by another establishment figure one day, a friend of “Bill”, as we nearly came to a fistfight….

      At some point, because of my opposition to the Iraq war, the New York Times banned me for more than ten years, until the editor changed.

      Once, with the European Tribune, it was at the explicit demand of strident bankers who were infuriated by my claim that Hitler had been financed by a number of US banks (among which Brown Brother Harriman). Now this was/should be official history, but the bankers decided that history should be forever buried. They told me only me said these horrible things about their noble banking profession.

      Twitter and Facebook buried me, by reducing my exposition (they have ways to do that, they admit, even Mr. Z just said so).

      Facebook tried to suspend me twice, for “hate”, but I appealed and they recognized their mistake. I published the whole exchange on my site. They had used historical quotes I published about statements made by Nazis before I was born, and which I do not approve of, and they pretended I had made these statements myself… Several members of my family died in combat and in uniform, against fascists….

      Liked by 1 person

  6. Jeff Says:

    Re “democracies”

    Anyone who talks about “democracies” AS IF a real democracy ACTUALLY EXISTS ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD (or has existed at any time) is evidently living mindlessly and blindly in the propaganda world fed to them since a kid and/or is part of the crowd who disseminates this total lie — see “The 2 Married Pink Elephants In The Historical Room” … https://www.rolf-hefti.com/covid-19-coronavirus.html

    (CAVEAT — only read the 2 pink elephant article if you’re GENUINELY interested in the truth and therefore “CAN handle the “inconvenient” truth” …)

    Isn’t it about time for anyone to wake up to the ULTIMATE DEPTH of the rabbit hole — rather than remain blissfully willfully ignorant in a fantasy land and play victim like a little child?

    Liked by 1 person

  7. D'Ambiallet Says:

    So Putin uses nukes, what do you do?

    Like

    • Patrice Ayme Says:

      Good question.
      We have to get prepared to answer it.
      The first line is to get into war production mode of weapons CRUCIAL FOR NUCLEAR WAR.
      It’s likely that nuclear war will start assymetrically, with Putin using nukes not against NATO, and not blatantly against Ukrainians [population centers. With tactical nukes and thus tactical stand off missiles. Those can be defended against. France, the US and Israel have anti short range ballistic or cruise missile systems which should also work against hypersonic weapons. So the US and France should go into world war production mode against such devices, by mass-producing Aster 30 and NASAM…

      Like

  8. Gmax Says:

    Reminds me of doctor Strangelove, I mean, Putin, not you. Your prediction that Putin would use nukes seems to slowly mature . Beyond scary, and what you say is damn the torpedoes, is the best course

    Like

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