Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Could CO2 Density Go Down Soon? No!

July 6, 2022

There is too much inertia in the system for CO2 to go down, barring masive intervention with tech we do not have (yet). CO2 effects have barely started… At the present level… Let alone the higher one we will get very soon. Real level, all GHG counted, is above 600 ppm. In Earth’s full history 2,000 ppm was reached, but then there were palm trees at the poles… As palms try to migrate, Putins will bomb.

I am reading, among many other things, The Ministry of The Future (MotF), a sci-fi book recommended by no less than Obama, the did-nothing-much except getting personally wealthy president, my untrustable friend. The book, one of many books hijacking the CO2 crisis, is very interesting, especially for its flaws, all of them mainstay of the dominant fossil fuel propaganda. A solution is around the corner, just regulate! Carbon coins (whatever that is). Carbon credits (to enrich the rich), Electric cars costing twice more than median income, even if made thanks to Chinese slaves!

One glaring flaw originated in no less than domineering scientific circles. I denounced it long ago, and thus burned some of my bridges in academia: friends faded away, as it looks as if I turned into a danger for “funding” and general good repute. 

https://patriceayme.wordpress.com/2016/02/20/new-climate-lie-magical-co2-stop-possible/

As early as 2016, distinguished gentleman Bill Collins from Berkeley was seen preaching to the public that the climate catastrophe can stop on a dime… Perfect say the fossil fuel plutocrats: we will stop on a dime whenever we want. 

But here I am still camping on my positions. In MotF CO2 starts suddenly to come down at 5ppm a year (the rate at which it is augmenting now), thanks to “reforestation” and a “super depression”. 

This is of course impossible. We are adding roughly 50 gigatons of CO2 a year right now, from primary energy production, making cement, deforestation, and now even massive fires (the third producer of CO2 behind China and the USA).

 

Most of these 50 gigatons are going into the ocean, acidifying and killing it. However, ultimately, they will come out. And the warmer and more agitated oceans get, the more they will come out. So not only are the atmospheric ppm augmenting from things like peat fires in Indonesia or Siberia, or melting permafrost, but humongous quantities of CO2 are now traveling within gigantic deep ocean currents… on their way out, some time, or another.

 

Reforestation is a must. However the mood is still at deforestation. This is clear in California, where authorities, while talking one way, do their best to stealthily act the opposite. I have a glaring example next to me: there was a little fire in a precious forest of immense ecological value and authorities react by paying private contractors by cutting a maximum number of trees, including endangered species…

Reforestation cannot work very well, because large trees are those absorbing the most CO2. Once they are cut, it will take a century for them to become significant that way again. 

 

To reduce CO2, only direct carbon capture will work for sure (using CO2 capturing bacteria to produce fuel has been suggested; however a modicum of thinking shows that this, far from being a panacea, does NOT reduce CO2 ppm, as the CO2 is reconstituted when the fuel is burned). 

 

Direct carbon capture will require quasi infinite energy, namely cheap thermonuclear fusion (and that’s still in a potential future). Thermonuclear fusion that will have to be so cheap we could freeze CO2 out and inject it in appropriate basalt rocks… Yes we could pay Iceland to do it… But, considering the cubic kilometers of liquid CO2 which would have to be injected, geological problems are bound to require geographical dispersal (to avoid quakes, or just rock coagulation preventing further injections).

 

Conclusion? There is no easy fix. Books such as MotF, or authorities, worldwide, have been talking, for decades, as if there was an easy fix: fixing the CO2 crisis was a few regulations and gimmicks away. Most of the measures implemented were carefully crafted to make the wealthiest wealthier (surprise!) But the impact on the deterioration of the atmosphere and the oceans of these wealthy tricks has been nil. 

 

The present rate of CO2 increase is hundreds of times greater than those of the most dramatic and lethal augmentation of CO2 in Earth’s history (with the possible exception of an asteroid impact, 66 million years ago, which occurred in an area which would have released vast amounts of CO2… besides the forest fires it caused). 

 

To mitigate this lethal increase requires the massive deployment of new technologies: a country such as France is at the world average of CO2 emissions (4 tons per capita). But France accomplished this with great cost to its per capita GDP, comfort, and thanks to massive de-industrialization, and decrease of influence (whereas the greater the polluters, the greater the influence). 

 

Even then, French CO2 production scaled up, corresponds to 50 gigatons… Worse: the real French CO2 production, after factoring in offshorization, is more like 11 tons per capita… That is, scaled up, around 135 gigatons of CO2.   

 

As I have pleaded, some existing techs exist and have to be deployed (mostly nuclear, hydrogen… besides “renewables”). Also a new religion should be called upon: all large trees should be considered sacred, and protected. Reforestation and rewilding should be a must.

 

However the most important notions are these: there is no fix compatible with present civilization. That means war, and actually, war has started: the invasion of Ukraine is a lot about capturing Ukrainian fossil fuels and incredibly productive and irrigated Russian lands. Brazil expects a war with… France, about saving the Amazon. So says his president, and ordered the Brazilian military accordingly.

 

There is also already a catastrophe in the pipeline: the CO2 levels we have had for a few decades are the highest in three million years… And that reflects only partially how much CO2 has been pumped into the biosphere. Ergo most ice will melt outside of its core fortress in Antarctica.

 

Humanity has always found technological solutions. Now it, and the biosphere, need them more than ever.

Patrice Ayme 

Nature is not just wonderful, it’s us… California landscape with Monterrey cypresses

Hyperloop Lie From Ukraine Enabler

June 28, 2022

Elon Musk proposed to send people in evacuated tubes at more than the speed of sound. The idea is not new… it was proposed for Switzerland long ago… And it was used in pneumatic systems all over major cities, a century ago. Strictly speaking the accelerations would be unbearable, and Musk obviously knows this, so, as it exactly stands, the idea is a lie.

Already 40 years ago, French high speed trains could induce nausea for the reason of acceleration as they crossed gentle mountain ranges such as the hills of the Morvan. They now go at 350km/h. If the speed of an object around a curve of radius R is V, the acceleration goes according to VV/R

In Europe 400km/h very high speed lines come with vertical radius of rises of 56 kilometers (35 miles). Such is the case of (under construction) High Speed 2 in the UK, At three times the speed, that is, the speed of sound, the radius would be above 500 kilometers (as the square of 3  is 9…) In other words, Hyperloop as proposed would have to tunnel from San Francisco to LA, all the way… A strange experience at great cost necessitating a minimum of three tunnels, with the maintenance tunnel, etc…

Thus the natural domain of hyperloop would rather be subway systems… But then people want to be able to come in and out… Etc. But then again, accelerations would be unbearable if speeds were much higher than present systems… Plus air would come in…

The reason for evacuated tubes, or fast planes flying high, is to reduce air resistance. At 11 kilometers high, flight level 360, air pressure is a fourth of that at sea level. But there are other methods to reduce air resistance, including forward spikes used by French and US sea-launched intercontinental ballistic missiles… This is an active field of study, to reduce the shockwaves of supersonic jets…

Could evacuated tubes still be used for merchandise, say between the port of LA and Las Vegas? Of course…

New style TGV reduces aerodynamic drag by 20% relative to preceding versions (red thing behind is an original TGV from 1980). A deployable spike in front may do better…

Musk is a great engineer, and inspirational. But he is also a great businessman: both Tesla and SpaceX have leveraged government financing… Perhaps the best thing Obama did… Here it is, from six years ago:

“Tesla, the poster concept of present-day American mercantilism. It is flooding the world with luxury electric car of dubious ecological merit. All the way to Norway, huge government subsidies are piled up on it (and I would be very interested to know the details on the mortgages and conferences various officials involve take). Thanks to well-organized propaganda and financing by the US government. In truth, Tesla and the other companies of Elon Musk (Solar City, Space X) are companies massively financed by the US governments

Now SpaceX provides with (not enough!) secure links for the Ukrainian military, which has serious communication problems…New York Times in “On Front Lines, Communication Breakdowns Prove Costly for Ukraine. The Ukrainian Army has tried to modernize, but still falls short in coordination among units, so they often fight independently of one another — with sometimes deadly results.”…

The General faced similar issues during the defense of Sievierodonetsk when his platoon was on the front line near a small river. On the opposite bank was another platoon with which he had no way to communicate. So almost every time the enemy attacked, the other unit would not just shoot at the Russians but also, unknowingly, at the General’s men who were in the line of fire — with everything from rifles to heavy machine guns.

“Nobody knew how to connect with them,” the General said. “Every day as we were standing there, for over 20 days, as far as I understood, nobody could connect to that unit next to us and let them know they were firing on their own.”

Ukraine needs plenty of Musk wares. “Soldiers say the most reliable equipment they’ve received, though in small quantities, has been Starlink satellite internet, enabled by a small square-like antenna that can be connected to act much like any Wi-Fi network.” High output encrypted US military radios’ locations get detected by the Orcs (who are busy destroying just arrived US howitzers, and their crews; so far the French CAESAR guns, which are highly mobile, shoot and scoop, have escaped lethal battery counterfire, but there are not enough of them…).

The tech supremacy successfully achieved by business men is not to be frown on: tech supremacy is how civilization is saved, and progresses, time and time again…

So Musk knows what Musk is up to with Hyperloop… besides gathering money from gullible investors… But it’s hyperloop is not for transporting people.

Patrice Ayme

Energy Sustainability

June 13, 2022

I have held for years that the math of so-called “sustainables” was unsustainablePresent day battery-electric tech requires too many expensive elements and ways to be the end-all, cure-all solution.

I have come to suspect that many so-called ecologists are actually agents of the fossil fuel industry. Those pseudo-ecologists promote non-economical and, or non-scalable energy “solutions”… knowing full well that they solve nothing much, if at all. A full blown wind-solar energy production requires a 100% available fossil fuel industry… if one excludes nuclear… That’s the trick which serves the fossil fuel plutocrats, including Vladimir Putin.

France has no fossil fuels, and thus no agenda for promoting high fossil fuel prizes. However retired secret services heads have revealed in their memoirs that French ecologists were paid by the Kremlin. This explains why French fanatical ecologists propagandized for no nuclear power, with wind and solar, a cocktail which requires 100% dependency on fossil fuels… (This evil psychological foundation of many a French pseudo-ecologist may also explain why some of them abuse sexually women and little children… and all of Paris knew about it, doing nothing… Why? The crimes against persons, women and children, hid a much bigger crime, against the planet and humanity themselves…)

Putting the main effort, not on wind and solar, but hydrogen and nuclear is how to get out of the CO2 crisis... Small nuclear reactors can produce green hydrogen as part of the cooling process… Solar and wind can complement harmoniously… But only complement. Rusted wind mills ruins off the French Atlantic coast, too expensive to remove, are a sobering warning. And those windmills are not 300 meters tall. Recycling giant carbon fiber epoxy blade hundreds of feet long will be too expensive…

A way to mitigate out maybe to devise walls with smaller, easier to recycle windmills… But the main point stays that the main effort has to be on hydrogen, hydrogen derivatives, and nuclear… small nuclear, standardized small nuclear, high temperature, thorium, and all sorts of fission and fusion…

Patrice Ayme

Proposed small nuclear reactor module. Basically the idea is that, if everything imaginable goes wrong, one can just forget about the reactor planted deep underground. Absence of sophisticated, complex systems make such reactors safe and economical. Argentina and China are building or connected to the grid much larger version still small, safe and economical relative to standard reactors…

Here is a more detailed post on some of the subject by my friend Ian Miller, a New Zealand physical chemist and writer:

ianmillerblog

Sustainability is the buzzword. Our society must use solar energy, lithium-ion batteries, etc to save the planet, at least that is what they say. But have they done their sums?. Lost in this debate is the fact that many of the technologies use relatively difficult to obtain elements. In a previous post I argued that battery technology was in trouble because there is a shortage of cobalt, required to make the cathode work for a reasonable number of cycles. Others argue that we could obtain sufficient elements. But if we are going to be sustainable, we have to be sustainable for an indefinite length of time, and mining is not sustainable; you can only dig up the ore once. Of course, there are plenty of elements left. There is more gold in the sea than has ever been mined; the problem is that it is too dilute. Similarly, most elements…

View original post 686 more words

Make Heat Pumping The Law

May 3, 2022

Pumping Heat Can Be Seven Times More Efficient Than Creating Heat

Abstract: Heat pumping is the simplest, fastest and most effective way to heat up, or cool down, something. Deliberate heat creation by human beings, fire, is around 1.5 million years old. Heating and cooking used burning, which is quick energy releasing oxidation. Around 100,000 years ago, Neanderthals used fossil fuels (lignite) to make fire.

A completely different tech was invented in 1834: Heat Pumping . Commercially available heat pumps in 2022 can be seven times more efficient energy-wise than the maximum available when creating heat by burning. 

It is perplexing that states did not make heat pumping mandatory. It may reflect a secret political agenda to remain dependent upon fossil fuels, as the power of most of the world’s potentates is entangled with them.  

Real ecologists should be vociferous about heat pumping. Differently from electric vehicles which are of dubious proximal ecological advantage, heat pumping’s benefits are immediate, considerable, pollution free, and without ecological cost.

Heat pumping should be mandatory: it would considerably mitigate the CO2 crisis.

***

Basic Physics of Heat Pump Without Mathematizing:

A heat pump is a device to transport heat, using a gas as a carrier. Heat pumps heat something by bringing energy to create heat, heat pumps trick nature by displacing heat. By displacing heat, heat pumps heat one place and cool another. An application is creating a cold place (refrigerators), another is to create a warm, or potentially extremely hot place.

Heat pumps are an excellent occasion to ponder the nature and relations between heat, temperature and motion. Basically heat is temperature writ large, and temperature is motion. Thus in a way heat is (disordered) motion and it’s not surprising that this motion can be channeled and moved somewhere else.

Heat pumps can be very advantageous: whereas one would need 600 units of energy to create  a given heat, by raising the temperature directly, it can take only 100 units of energy to get the same heat, just by transporting the heat to the same place. Intuitively, it’s a bit like needing much less energy to transport a number of people to a place, rather than creating the same people from scratch.

OK, let’s get a bit more technical:   

***

PHYSICS OF HEAT PUMPS:

The definition of a gas is that it is a state which can be compressed (and is not a plasma). Heat pumps use the compressibility of gasses crucially.

Heat needs to be defined. Heat is different from temperature. At the molecular scale, temperature in a gas is defined by the average speed of motion of the molecules making the gas. That speed creates (kinetic) energy. When a molecule hits a wall, it transmits its kinetic energy to the wall: that’s heat.

Basically one can say that heat is agitation.

The closer the walls containing a gas, the more frequently the molecules will hit the walls… thus the more heat will be transmitted to said walls. So, as a gas gets compressed, more heat gets transmitted to the walls. Thus, if one pushes a gas through a nozzle, the nozzle will heat up. The effect is boosted because the compression itself raises the temperature of the gas: all the energy put into the compression gets into the gas, and that means it is converted into the form of energy the gas has, and that is kinetic energy… also known as temperature. So compression raises the temperature while transmitting more heat: a double bang.

Let’s suppose the gas can expand after the nozzle: as its momentum gets confined by the nozzle, it will move slowly after it escapes it. In other words, it will be colder than how it started before the compression… And also the compression, although bringing in energy, made it lose even more energy to the walls (if one arranges the walls and their material well). This cooling of the gas enables us to make a refrigerator. 

In a heat pump, the gas, exposed to the environment, will then warm up, back to the temperature and pressure it had before the compression. So the gas acquires heat from the environment, and then can be brought to the compressor, which releases it. Now make a closed circuit: the heat taken from the environment will then be released just past the compressor at the nozzle.

Plugging in the numbers and equations, or just experimenting with various gasses, nozzles and compressors, one gets efficiencies in commercially available units, which are seven times the maximum theoretical efficiency limit given by direct heating (given by Carnot law). 

Why have heat pumps not be made mandatory? As with High Efficiency Particulate Air (HEPA) filters, which clean the air from all sorts of germs and pollutants, that is a mystery…

Imposing heat pumps is the simplest legislative effort which can be made at this point to mitigate the CO2 crisis.  

Patrice Ayme

Heat is motion. A heat pump moves that motion.

WHERE HATE COMES FROM (Basic) 

April 28, 2022

Put too many rats in a cage, and they will fight in the most vicious manner, to death. 

Humans are no different. The cage is the planet. The planet can probably sustain, long term, with present technology, only a fraction of the existing human population. A consequence is the CO2 crisis, and several other pollution crises. The end product of these crises will be a devastated biosphere where advanced animal life will be difficult, if at all possible.

Thus there is only one optimal outcome: better technology… the very factor which makes hate problematic at this point of evolution.

Ecological crises have dominated human evolution for hundreds of thousands of years, ever since our ancestors became the dominant predators. As humans imploded the ecology, evolution discovered that it was more conducive to survival of the fittest to eliminate surpluses of humanity before eliminating the ecology supporting said humanity. This is how hatred became a dominant human instinct. Hate entices humans to kill humans. Hate renders highly performing humanity possible. Hate is an adaptative behavior so ingrained it became an instinct.

Astute observers will remember that ethologists also discovered that chimpanzees conducted wars of extermination in the next valley over. There too the deep root is the ecology… and this shows that hate is not just a human instinct, but most ancient. 

Add to this propensity for hatred the fact human beings are not just made to be free, but perform best when they are free. Thus humans hate to see their freedom curtailled. Moreover groups of free humans think in parallel, not in series, and thus are more intelligent.

As oligarchy, propped by ever more powerful technology, grows, so does hatred against those who rule. Hatred grows, both in those who see their freedom curtailled, and in those who see the dowthrodden rise against the privileges of the upper crust. And hatred tends to be fungible: once it has arisen, it goes around. 

Nothing new in the basic psychology, but, as Vlad the Mad is keen to remind us from the Kremlin… we have nukes now, and weapons like you have never seen before. This makes the full enjoyment of hate impossible, as, like the thugs around Putin remind us, “humanity could be turned into radioactive ashes“. 

***

So what to do practically? 

One has to understand that hate has a life of its own, once it is born. Understand also that hate has deep roots, reasons of its own. And that it is even noble in some sense: who doesn’t want to save the ecology? Well, hate wants to save it. Thus if one wants to prevent hate, one has to destroy the roots, and the processes which could lead to even more roots.

For example, when it became clear that the KGB/FSB, the Soviet-Russian secret police, was behind the rise of Putin, and once it became clear that they would do anything to grab power (the bombings in Russia and the Chechen genocidal war), it should also have been clear that, to feed Putin and his thesis that the disappearance of the genocidal USSR was the greatest tragedy of the 20C, was to feed hate large enough for a world war. I wrote about this for decades, so I was not surprised when it happened, as I had predicted.

The way to prevent Putin was to put maximum pressure on his regime from the start. The same applies to Xi’s genocidal regime. But what have we been doing? The opposite!

Hate is the gift which keeps on giving, we are getting smothered by its generosity. But the way out is not to hate hate, but to love sustainable solutions before they become problems.

Patrice Ayme

P/S: The first part above was published as a comment in NYT on “Where Does All That Hate We Feel Come From?“April 27, 2022 By Thomas B. Edsall starting with

“The story of the 21st century is less a story about exponential population growth than it is a story about differential growth — marked by a stark divide between the world’s richest and poorest countries,” Jennifer Sciubba, a professor of international studies at Rhodes College, writes in her new book, “8 Billion and Counting: How Sex, Death and Migration Shape Our World.”

Much of that differential is driven by tech prowess (for example hydrocarbon extraction is highly automatized, and involves relatively few, very well paid workers, so it encourages concentrations of wealth and power)… But also by hate, since, as we sketched tech to increase hate (just as it increases goodness and other extremes… but the equivallent of a nuclear bomb doesn’t exist with love!).

If I ate all the grass, my species would die off. Fortunately, predators will eat enough of my kind to prevent this. And who will kill the predators, if there are too many? Humans… Who also eat grass! We need something, somebody, to kill humans!

Learn The Truth, Putin Loving Devils: NATO Is The European Army, And You Are Traitors To Democracy

March 9, 2022

Tyrant Putin, in power for 25 years, hates democracy, so he hates Europe, and especially the European Union, which requires democracy to join the Union. 21 of the NATO countries are EU members. Adding the UK, that’s 22 European countries, 2 of which, UK and France, are nuclear armed. Actually, 28 countries of NATO are European countries. So NATO is, de facto, the European army.

The only non-European powers in NATO are the USA, and Canada. Contrarily to repute, most “offensive” operations of NATO were originated by France, not the US. An example is the Libyan war, to get rid of the crazy dictator Qaddafi… something advocated first, and very loudly, not to say cogently, by yours trule. See:”Humanism is Force“… (That Libya went wrong after eliminating the tyrant Qaddafi happened from lack of follow-up…)

And what are Canada and the USA? Are they foreign, alien, distant powers, imposing their hegemony on Europe? No. The USA is the red, white and blue child of France and Britain. And Canada is even meeker. Yes, France and Britain had been a dysfunctional couple since a French army conquered England in 1066 CE. But a couple nevertheless, and their relationship with their child has been complicated.

Much of US hegemony on Europe comes from the deliberate choice of Europe. For example, France has a century of frackable gas (it would seem). But French law forbids to even explore the possibility. Better to buy the gas from dictators…

Parroting the nuclear terrorist Putin does not make thinking good. There was no NATO-USSR agreement in 1990. Just some of the off the cuff remarks by Baker about East Germany. Sovereign countries have a right to enter into treaties, especially of self defense. Russia does not have the right to tell other countries what to sign. Especially a defensive treaty.

Article 42-7 of the EU constitution is similar to NATO article 5: attack on one is attack on all.

Those Putin agents who claim that NATO should not exist thus claim that Europe should not have a defense system.

NATO functions with unanimous decisions, and is not dictatorship. So when France, a founding member of NATO, decided to quit the integrated NATO military command, because of disagreement about the Vietnam war, she stayed out for 40 years… while still a member of NATO… and still initiating and leading several NATO wars, such as the war against the Serbian dictatorship and its proxies.

In 2008 France blocked Ukraine from NATO membership… But a negotiation replaced that by a promise of integration later. NATO only admits democracies. In 2008, the problem was already Putin, who invaded Georgia, taking 20% of it, because Georgia wanted to integrate the EU. Same problem developped with Ukraine, which got associated to the EU (same as Turkey in 1961…)

Russia was told in the 1990s, that, should it confirm its democratic status, it could integrate NATO, and Putin himself admitted that he was for it… Early on in his first (illegitimate) presidency… It probably dawned on him that the EU would find out, by sniffing around, how he got elected president, and what it did in Chechnya… Plus it would compromise his grand plan of ruling the planet the way the USSR was.

So now he has found the way: terrorize the entire planet with his nukes… Thus getting his way.

On March 4 2022 , The European Union peacekeeping force in Bosnia (EUFOR) said that France would conduct fast-jet training flights over Bosnia in light of the deteriorating security situation internationally. Bosnia lies hundreds of miles from the fighting but is facing an increasingly assertive Bosnian Serb separatist movement that gets support from Moscow. Bosnia, like Ukraine, has long said it wants to join NATO – a position that has infuriated the Kremlin which said in March 2021 it would react if Bosnia took steps towards joining NATO. The Bosnian Serbs, led by pro-Russian Milorad Dodik, suddenly want to secede and join Serbia.

The Bosnian war started when “Serb” racist partisans tried to eliminate the Muslim population of Bosnia, much of it gathered in the capital, Sarajevo. The “Serbs” started a siege with more than 300 guns, from the mountains around. France intervened, under UN mandate, and exerted counter-strikes. UK helped morphed into a UN mandated NATO mission, dragging in a reluctant Clinton. All this infuriates Putin because his shamans told him all this should be under the sway of Moscow. Yes, Putin consults with shamans and “Old Believers”, such as Archimandrite Tikhon Shevkunov, a monk… And the irreplaceable Satanic “philosopher” Dugin...

In September 2021, Putin referenced at a school in Vladivostok “the tragedies” of the 1917 Russian revolution and the collapse of the Soviet Union. He suggested that had they not occurred, Russia’s population might now be 500 million strong (versus an actual 146 million). This matters because dwindling demographics pose a significant challenge to Russia’s long-term viability as a great power. Putin concluded that “It is necessary to look at what was the basis of these tragic events so that in no case can anything like this happen in the future. How can we strengthen ourselves, in what way, how can we build relationships with neighbors?”  

Well, in Putin’s deranged mind, “we” need a tyrant to get stronger…

Fascist political scientist John Mearsheimer, revered by the dim minded, opines that “If Ukraine becomes a pro-American liberal democracy, and a member of nato, and a member of the E.U., the Russians will consider that categorically unacceptable.” And why is this? Because the way of the stronger is most correct. Says the vile idiot: …”this is great-power politics. When you’re a country like Ukraine and you live next door to a great power like Russia, you have to pay careful attention to what the Russians think, because if you take a stick and you poke them in the eye, they’re going to retaliate. States in the Western hemisphere understand this full well with regard to the United States.

How did Ukraine poke the  Russians in the eye? Well, by associating to the EU. 

And what makes the Moscovite empire great? Fossil fuels, nukes and Putin? Wisdom is to get rid of all of them.

Those who hate NATO hate what is de facto the EU defense force. Moreover, the argument that Europe does not deserve an army and should be defenseless is simply racist. Europe minus Russia has 20 times the nominal GDP of Russia, and 4 times the population: it’s a greater power. 

Patrice Ayme 

Have we avoided Munich? Not So Fast! At Munich, In The End, A Dictator Invaded A Democracy, And Paid Little Price

March 8, 2022

Many self-satisfied appeasers go around, gloat and congratulate themselves about their wisdom and knowledge of history: this time we avoided Munich, and they chuckle… while only one road leads to Kyiv which is not under Russian bombardment.

At Munich, the two large democracies, France and the UK, dumped Czechoslovakia, a newly liberated nation, reborn at Versailles in 1919… And a democracy. Hitler wanted a piece of it, the border, where the fortifications were. It was called the Sudetenland, a mountainous area, a natural borderland, and three million German speaking people lived there. Hitler got the Sudeten, courtesy of France and Britain, and then, having peacefully occupied the defense system of Czechoslovakia, marched peacefully in the rest of the country, occupying it militarily, after harassing all night long the elderly Czech president.

Prior to Munich, Czechoslovakia had a defense treaty with the French Republic (not with Britain).

If France in 1938 had refused to talk to Hitler, would have Hitler done like Putin, and invaded?  Was Hitler that crazy?

Ukraine did have a treaty protecting her, after giving up on 5,000 nuclear warheads, the  Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances, signed December 5, 1994. It is clear, here are the crucial articles:

  1. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their obligation to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, and that none of their weapons will ever be used against Ukraine except in self-defence or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations.
  2. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to Ukraine, in accordance with the principles of the Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe, to refrain from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind.
  3. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to seek immediate United Nations Security Council action to provide assistance to Ukraine, as a non-nuclear-weapon State party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, if Ukraine should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used.

That Treaty has been violated.

In 1938, the question was whether France would go to war against Germany, Italy, Ussr and Japan to honor her treaty… without the UK or US on board.

In 1939, a similar treaty with Poland was honored, and france went to war… This time with the nod from Britain… But not the USA, which slapped sanctions against its parents, France and Britain….

So have we repeated Munich? 

France says it has given quality and quantity of weapons to Ukraine… But France refuses to say what, in part to surprise the Russians… France is the only country with as diversified a military arsenal as the US, or Russia…

France also adds that telling to the Russians in Syria which weapons France and the US fielded had been itself weaponized by Russia. 

Have we avoided Munich? Not So Fast! At Munich A Dictator Conquered A Democracy.

Hitler won, because he lied and conquered a democracy, Czechoslovakia

If Putin conquers Ukraine, a democracy, he will have won, and we will have repeated Munich.

Putin has already won several Munichs. Western appeasers did their best not to notice. Obama, a weak weasel, folded as usual, when French pilots were already strapped in their seats to punish the genocidal tyrant Assad, ally of Putin… After Obama’s surrender, Putin moved into Syria in force. Putin amused himself in Syria, reducing entire cities into fields of ruins, including Alepo. It was good training for his professional army:

Syrian province of Idlib

Now Putin is bringing Syrian killers specialized in urban fighting, to deal with the Ukrainians…

Patrice Ayme

THIRD WORLD WAR STARTED: Because World War Is Putin’s Only Way Out

March 5, 2022

Weak, uneducated, disastrous western politicians insist that Putin should be appeased: no Western plane should fly over Ukraine, a sovereign democracy… Because a genocidal tyrant invading said country ordered them not to establish a No Fly Zone.  The corrupt, trembling politicians whine that they don’t want to offend Putin, lest he escalates. Let Putin escalate only when he wants to, those silly cowards insist, not when we force him in any way. It is in their faces, but they refuse to se it: Putin has started WWIII.

The western politicians who refuse to fight Putin guarantee a large nuclear world war, thus the opposite of what they claim to prevent. Why? Because they insist Putin should be free to escalate when he wants,  Because as I will explain, Putin, even if he defeats Ukraine, will have to escalate, or he will be killed. And, as Putin is the world’s most selfish person, he will do anything to survive, killing entire countries to bend them to his devouring will, hoping that the threat of turning nations to “radioactive ashes” will submit them all.

Putin has engaged in crimes against humanity for 23 years. Now he knows everybody in the West is figuring that out, so he, and his regime has to win, or die. However now that the rest of the world, except fellow dictatorships, is outraged with the Putin tyranny, its inhumanity, and atrocity. So Putin’s regime will find itself in a very hostile confrontation with the rest of the world, isolated and doomed, as Russia will be cut-off technological progress. As time passes, Putin’s tyranny will find itself in an increasingly vulnerable position. 

Indeed, a closed society cannot compete in innovation with open societies. As it is, Russian weapons use Western (for example Franco-Italian) electronics, and other open market devices. As Russia gets cut-off technologically, its military will be in danger of becoming obsolete… So it will have to be used right away as we see now.

One obvious mitigation for his increasingly difficult situation will be for Putin to drag the other dictatorships of the world into an alliance, as happened in the 1930s, when the fascist regimes made a grand alliance of Hitler, Stalin, Hirohito, Mussolini, Franco, and a few others.

The final solution, though, as Russia gets poorer, will be to compensate by seizing territory and loot those newly conquered territories: this is what Nazi Germany did systematically in the territories it conquered, while the German economy got concentrated on weapon making. (Countries such as France or Ukraine got plundered for food and basic commodities. The Netherlands got nearly starved to death.)

In other words, the only logic, going forward, for Putin is to extend the war, make it worldwide, and hope to cowe the West into submission by threatening to use nuclear weapons.  

Putin started this war, because war was the only way to ensure the survival of his tyranny: polls showed young people were (finally!) turning against his senile, hateful, vicious rule. He need the distraction.

Putin Delendus Est

Patrice Ayme

Putin uses bombs in Ukraine which the Russian military considers equivalent to tactical nuclear weapons. Putin bomb in Ivano-Frankivsk, central Ukraine.

Putin Nuclear Terrorist, Escalates All The Way To Maximum Hell. Destroy Him ASAP.

February 27, 2022

Putin declared that, if he faced defeat he would rather turn the world to “radioactive ashes”. Sunday February 27 2022, Putin, accordingly, put his nuclear forces on high alert “special combat readiness“. The mad criminal against humanity keeps on escalating… That’s what criminals against humanity do. That’s how Hitler and his collaborators killed 5% of humanity.

All this was obvious more than a decade ago, and I wrote thousands of pages about how holocausts evolved, and why Putin was an holocaust in the making, the worst of them all. Putin will not stop. That’s why he has to be stopped. The present crisis was born from the weakness of the leaders of representative democracies. Not just the ridiculously weak Biden. Even further back France (and her poodle Germany) vetoed the entry of Ukraine in NATO.

The first mistake was disarming Ukraine’s enormous nuclear arsenal (5,000 warheads) and transferring it all to the Kremlin. This transfer did not take into account the possibility of a madman heading the Kremlin…. When actually the history of Russia is first of all the history of mad dictators, and the madder and the most terrible they are, the most successful, starting with Ivan The Terrible. Ruling families killed each other happily and within. Ivan and Peter the Great killed their sons (through torture in the latter’s case). Catherine II the Great, a German, egged by her mother in law, probably killed her husband the Czar, and then went on, with her lover Potemkin, to conquer Ukraine.

Evil is a side of humanity which is deeply entangled with the nature of humanity. Sadly, humanity, or, most probably all and any advanced extra-terrestrial intelligence, should there be one, could not have evolved without evil. Evil stabilizes the ecology by culling the dominant species.

An example: If Putin kills 7 billion people, he would help terrestrial ecology, as simple as that. Not trying to say that killing 7 billion humans is the only way to help ecology. Civilization, but not Putin, can do better.

We have seen that story before: in the 1930s, all the world fascists united, creating the Axis, invading the Spanish Republic, and then many other countries. Those fascists autocrats and their cronies were initially independent of each other.

As I explained, to destroy Putin, it may be enough to brand him, As Soon As Possible, for what he is, potentially the greatest criminal against humanity. That he did not reduce us yet all to “radioactive ashes” in the style of Martha Goebbels, who killed her six children does not disprove the fact Putin is potentially the greatest criminal against humanity. Ever.

Tyrant Putin produced today a video of himself talking with his Defense Minister, Sergey Kuzhugetovich Shoigu, a pseudo-general. The defense minster breathed so heavily, you could see his chest inflate and deflate. His eyes were clearly coming out of their orbits. His gaping mouth was searching for words, but he couldn’t find them. This was a man, this Putin Defense Minister, terrorized by his boss, obviously wondering what was coming next.

The only plausible way out of the crisis we are in is to get rid of Putin.

NATO should consider itself at war with the Kremlin. If we lose Ukraine, we will lose everything, because Putin will not stop. He went too far already. He has probably already tripled his bodyguard. But all Russians need to know that humanity will be grateful if they do their duty, and that is not to obey, and if possible destroy, the nuclear tyrant.

Putin Delendus Est!

Patrice Ayme

Fail to obey the tyrant, all over the world, and that’s what you will get. Black smoke rises from a military airport in Chuguyev near Kharkiv on February 24, 2022. – Russian Nuclear Tyrant Vladimir Putin announced a “special military operation” in Ukraine … sounding exactly like the Nazis with their special operations and Zonderkommando (special commando in charge of extermination) finally, the tyrant’s foreign minister warned that a “full-scale invasion” was underway. (Photo by ARIS MESSINIS / AFP)

Hypersonic Missiles From Tyrannical Gas!

February 20, 2022

HYPERSONICS from EU Revenues:

60% of the revenues of the Kremlin nuclear tyrant comes from fossil fuels sold to the West. And what did that bring? Hypersonics! Monster missiles shrieking through the air at two miles per second… Is that the famous “energy transition” European propagandists have been talking about obsessively? Transition to tyranny? 

Transition from nuclear power plants to nuclear tipped missiles we can see only in the last ten seconds? Transition to doing what Putin wants us to do? Watch as he reconstitutes the largest empire Russia ever had? To start with? And what does the imperially obsessed tyrant do with these colossal revenues from the West?

Similarly to Hitler, Putin builds weapons. But… Putin is smarter than Hitler. Putin’s weapons have a real, serious qualitiative advantage on the West.  

Contrary to legend Hitler did not have a qualitative advantage in weapons in 1940. The French had way better tanks, superior in range, power, and armor… And much more of them. In aviation, the best British and French fighters, the Hurricane and the Dewoitine, equalled the best Nazi fighters. The only advantages the Nazis had were a practice of tactics, integration of aviation and tanks, radio in all the tanks, massive usage of amphetamines, and fanaticism (Nazis used suidical engineers with explosive backpacks). 

Over all, the French and the British had weapons the Nazis did not posses, or in numbers so low as being irrelevant and ridiculous. Basically, in five days starting May 10, 1940, the Nazis took the French by surprise. Once the French learned, they had lost the Battle of France and the French C in C had been fired (May 17). The situation with Putin is different. 

Putin really has  a new type of weapons that the West doesn’t have. Hypersonic missiles, at least hundreds of them, some long deployed and in improved versions. 

A ballistic missile goes up thousands of kilometers above the atmosphere, and enjoys a fully visible and predictable trajectory… predictable from classical mechanics. “Ballistic” means weight. Hypersonic missiles instead skirt low over the ground, at speeds of the same order as that of ballistic missiles. That makes those missiles impossible to see from ground radar until it’s too late. Those hypersonic missiles evade existing defenses, and reduce warning times before impact to… ten seconds. That those hypersonic missiles violated de facto the Medium Range ballistic missile treaty has been blatant for more than a dozen years, and I wrote about it. Much later, in 2014, the Obama administration woke up, and Trump pulled out of the treaty in 2019. 

However, neither France nor the US, the two leading Western military powers, have developped hypersonic missiles. US research tests have been pathetically few and generally dismal failures… The French do not even have seemed to understand something is going on, and they don’t know wha it is. One must admire Russian engineers, who are a decade ahead.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=299pbdH9XhY

We don’t want to criticize Hitler, or anyone else, when that’s not deserved. Hitler was not ready to wage a world war in 1939, because he did not choose, or want, a war with Britain and France in 1939: the French forced him into it. An increasingly aghast Hitler believed the democracies to be weak and lacking in will to fight. Surprised from the French and the Bbritish is why Hitler was so unprepared. UK PM Chamberlain outsmarted Hitler by gaining time at Munich, while building an air force that Hitler could only dream of.  The French would have been better off attacking in 1938… With only Czechoslovakia as an ally. But then France would have been accused by the US of war mongering… Choices, choices…

Now we have a Kremlin tyrant, who has wunder Waffen, wonder weapons… but nothing else to show. So he is anxious to use them, you know, otherwise it will be too late, and he is old anyway, so he may as well destroy something out of sheer frustration and making good entertainement that he will the first to watch. We will have to resist, as yours truly said for well above a decade. But then it is going to be painful and scary. Choices, choices… 

With more advanced electronics dictator Putin made hypersonic missiles which can destroy his enemies, who don’t have them. So now he can attack. Advancing technology was always empowering. How to use that power is the moral question.. Morality has to advance with tech. It didn’t.

Let’s keep it simple: when a fascist tyranny is in a Kaiser Trap, democracies should treat it as a possible extinction event, and treat it accordingly.

Putin delendus est!

Patrice Ayme

Tsirkon, aka Zircon, probably because of use of Zirconium, a metal found in nuclear fuel bars because of its high temperature resistance, is just the latest hypersonic Russian missile. For well above a decade, the US failed to make fly significantly a US version of the idea. The energy of the missile is such that, on impact, it has kinetic energy equivalent to 2.2 tons of TNT.

Rise, Republic, Plutocracy, Degeneracy, Fall And Transmutation Of Rome

Power Exponentiation By A Few Destroyed Greco-Roman Civilization. Are We Next?

SoundEagle 🦅ೋღஜஇ

Where The Eagles Fly . . . . Art Science Poetry Music & Ideas

Artificial Turf At French Bilingual School Berkeley

Artificial Turf At French Bilingual School Berkeley

Patterns of Meaning

Exploring the patterns of meaning that shape our world

Sean Carroll

in truth, only atoms and the void

West Hunter

Omnes vulnerant, ultima necat

GrrrGraphics on WordPress

www.grrrgraphics.com

Skulls in the Stars

The intersection of physics, optics, history and pulp fiction

Footnotes to Plato

because all (Western) philosophy consists of a series of footnotes to Plato

Patrice Ayme's Thoughts

Striving For Ever Better Thinking. Humanism Is Intelligence Unleashed. From Intelligence All Ways, Instincts & Values Flow, Even Happiness. History and Science Teach Us Not Just Humility, But Power, Smarts, And The Ways We Should Embrace. Naturam Primum Cognoscere Rerum

Learning from Dogs

Dogs are animals of integrity. We have much to learn from them.

ianmillerblog

Smile! You’re at the best WordPress.com site ever

Defense Issues

Military and general security

RobertLovesPi.net

Polyhedra, tessellations, and more.

How to Be a Stoic

an evolving guide to practical Stoicism for the 21st century

Rise, Republic, Plutocracy, Degeneracy, Fall And Transmutation Of Rome

Power Exponentiation By A Few Destroyed Greco-Roman Civilization. Are We Next?

SoundEagle 🦅ೋღஜஇ

Where The Eagles Fly . . . . Art Science Poetry Music & Ideas

Artificial Turf At French Bilingual School Berkeley

Artificial Turf At French Bilingual School Berkeley

Patterns of Meaning

Exploring the patterns of meaning that shape our world

Sean Carroll

in truth, only atoms and the void

West Hunter

Omnes vulnerant, ultima necat

GrrrGraphics on WordPress

www.grrrgraphics.com

Skulls in the Stars

The intersection of physics, optics, history and pulp fiction

Footnotes to Plato

because all (Western) philosophy consists of a series of footnotes to Plato

Patrice Ayme's Thoughts

Striving For Ever Better Thinking. Humanism Is Intelligence Unleashed. From Intelligence All Ways, Instincts & Values Flow, Even Happiness. History and Science Teach Us Not Just Humility, But Power, Smarts, And The Ways We Should Embrace. Naturam Primum Cognoscere Rerum

Learning from Dogs

Dogs are animals of integrity. We have much to learn from them.

ianmillerblog

Smile! You’re at the best WordPress.com site ever

Defense Issues

Military and general security

RobertLovesPi.net

Polyhedra, tessellations, and more.

How to Be a Stoic

an evolving guide to practical Stoicism for the 21st century

Rise, Republic, Plutocracy, Degeneracy, Fall And Transmutation Of Rome

Power Exponentiation By A Few Destroyed Greco-Roman Civilization. Are We Next?

SoundEagle 🦅ೋღஜஇ

Where The Eagles Fly . . . . Art Science Poetry Music & Ideas

Artificial Turf At French Bilingual School Berkeley

Artificial Turf At French Bilingual School Berkeley

Patterns of Meaning

Exploring the patterns of meaning that shape our world

Sean Carroll

in truth, only atoms and the void

West Hunter

Omnes vulnerant, ultima necat

GrrrGraphics on WordPress

www.grrrgraphics.com

Skulls in the Stars

The intersection of physics, optics, history and pulp fiction

Footnotes to Plato

because all (Western) philosophy consists of a series of footnotes to Plato

Patrice Ayme's Thoughts

Striving For Ever Better Thinking. Humanism Is Intelligence Unleashed. From Intelligence All Ways, Instincts & Values Flow, Even Happiness. History and Science Teach Us Not Just Humility, But Power, Smarts, And The Ways We Should Embrace. Naturam Primum Cognoscere Rerum

Learning from Dogs

Dogs are animals of integrity. We have much to learn from them.

ianmillerblog

Smile! You’re at the best WordPress.com site ever

Defense Issues

Military and general security

RobertLovesPi.net

Polyhedra, tessellations, and more.

How to Be a Stoic

an evolving guide to practical Stoicism for the 21st century