FASCISM, NAZISM, RUSSIA, CHINA, The Past And The Future:
Fascism is justified by war. The more war, the more fascism. So the popularity of a fascist leader appears to augment as a war becomes catastrophic, especially when the leader has involved his entire population in infamy. It is infamy to let oneself be persuaded that Ukraine was going to attack, just from believing a thief-in-chief as if he were god).
This fascism from war effect is why Hitler’s popularity augmented during WW2… while increasingly much of the entire German population grimly perceived they had wronged the Jews, and perhaps done even more than that… and that they were going to pay a heavy price.
As the US army fought through its first German villages and cities, GIs were surprised to see Germans come out, after the combat had moved down the street, and calmly sweep in front of their houses. As Germans swept the combat debris, they seem to be sweeping Nazism off their minds. By 1945, the Germans had few illusions about Nazism, yet, still, many fought through the bitter end. Especially many in the ill informed and culturally stupid and thus, criminal, youth.
But of course the young were more vulnerable to Nazi propaganda. Hitler used to boast that he didn’t care what adults thought about Nazism, because “we own the youth“. In some cases, US officers were faced with young Germans holed up in some house with Panzerfausts. The US commanders drafted local German school teachers to order their pupils to lay down their weapons. So there you had German matrons ordering by loudspeakers their students to stop their ruckus and come out hands up.
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There have been many illusions regarding Putin’s tyranny: I fully predicted Putin’s attack, more than a decade ago… An autocracy is automatically evil. Yet most experts, completely drunk on neo-liberal, end of history, pipeline diplomacy, trade as master of the universe ideology, believed it would not happen: well, their careers depended upon glorifying the fact everything, even peace, was for sale! Putin denial, like denial that, because they don’t experience limits to their powers, plutocrats are destroying democracy, or like denial about the CO2 crisis, have long been obvious, yet nothing is done about them, because that would doing something against the established order which plutocrats have captured (and this is why transferring arms to a democracy under attack by a fascist, racist genocidal regime is like pulling teeth…)
Why did they think Putin modernized 80% of itsC nuclear forces, and developed, already 20 years ago, nuclear tipped hypersonic missiles? Putin was preparing his realm to exert nuclear blackmail, obviously. But the so-called “experts” had not noticed! They were paid, not to notice…
Another illusion is that the sanctions are hurting Russia real bad. Short term, no. Russia controls maybe 20% of the world’s arable land, and its gigantic land as all resources, except mangrove and coconut trees. Russia is an autocracy ready to live in autarky..
Could Russia end up like Venezuela, Cuba, North Korea or Iran. Isolated, forever inimical to most of the planet? No. Because Russia wants to be, and is, just from the land it controls, a superpower.
Notice this didn’t happen with China: After the Gang of 4 attempted takeover, China embarked in democratization… the opening of China to the world was recently interrupted by Xi, an ally of Putin… who discovered, like Lenin, Stalin, Mussolini, Hitler, Hirohito and Franco before him, that global plutocrats were natural allies: see Bill Gates of the Gates (of hell?) foundation providing Xi with the most sophisticated security expertise. See Gates and Xi holding hands, see Xi visiting Gates’ mansion in Washington, and holding court there with other plutocrats from “Big Tech”, before Xi proceeded to Washington to tell Obama how it was going to be.
(Obama is a weakling, Xi, reared in part by the Red Guards, is tough, that’s why Xi gives orders to Obama: “Big Tech” plots with Xi, a man who can pretty much order the death of anybody, anywhere, then Xi goes to see someone who is afraid of his own shadow, except when sponsored by oligarchs).
The reason China did not isolate itself from the world has to do with Mao and Nixon… Nixon himself was pretty much doing what US oligarchs (say Kaiser) told him to do.
China is big, ambitious, and has been for 4,000 years. China got defeated by an expansionist Russia two centuries ago, losing immense territories at the Treaty of Aigun (1858 CE). The Russians threatened to open a second front while China was losing the Second Opium War, against Britain and France (which went on to destroy architecture in the Chinese capital to avenge various atrocities with petty war crimes of their own…
China wants to be a superpower, that means: opening itself to the world. Russia will have the same problem, if it wants to keep on being a superpower.
Now, of course, Xi is a personal ally of the Kremlin mongrel, but that’s precisely Xi’s problem: Xi carries the mark of infamy “Putin”… that may make Xi less popular with his comrades of the Chinese leadership.
In the fullness of time, China is a major threat for Russia, because Russia occupies or control immense territories on which China has exerted imperium, sometimes for centuries, and sometimes already two millennia ago (Rome and China basically touched at some point, and Romans notable made it all the way to East Asia; an allegation is that Roman prisoners settled in China). Two huge cities, Vladivostok and Khabarovsk, sit very close to the Chinese border. Khabarovsk is full of descendants of Ukrainians deported to Siberia by Stalin (who also killed around four million Ukrainians, just to make sure Ukraine obeyed and agreed to be dispossessed… The Holodomor, one of these periodic genocides the Kremlin visits on Ukraine in its effort to keep as much of Eurasia under tits subjugation as possible).
Make no mistake: Siberia should be developed from the Russian base it has now, with the help of the European Union and its allies. I am not advocating a “return to China”. Actually Russia and the USSR seem to have been more respectful of Siberian peoples than
Russia can’t depend upon China. The problem of Muscovite Russia is that, to realize its ginormous expansion to the east, the Kremlin embraced the ways of the Mongols. That was the opposite of the quasi-democracy of Kyivan Rus… which really got Russian civilization started. That tension remains. What we see with the cruel Moof scow attacking Kyiv is a civil war, and even more, a civilizational war, a war for saving the world…
As tech progresses, a point may happen where the formidable Russian nuclear arsenal may become obsolete. Much Russian military prowess rests on western electronics: that’s going to be cut off (hopefully; it remains to see how strong the embargo is going to be).
Ukraine, a democracy assailed by plutocrats, must regain lost territory through military means… Because there are no other means, and the nuclear tyrant needs to be thoroughly defeated: Putin cannot be rewarded with some Sudetenland, as Hitler was… We know what happens in such a case.
So the democracies should help Ukraine militarily as much as possible. After having committed the worst threat, destroying all of humanity, Putin and his accomplices should be given no quarters: there is strictly no hope to be coming from this criminal organization. Democracies must choose between civilization and the only thing which can stop civilization, a rogue nuclear regime.
World War Three is on. It is more serious than any which preceded.
Patrice Ayme
