WAR WRITES HISTORY!
Nathan Curry: I read your recent articles. I think that it’s almost certain that America is headed for ruin
The rumor that America heads for ruin has been greatly exaggerated. The plutocracy connected to the Deep State is doing its best to create a moral hazard (universities, corporations, big banks, think tanks, etc.)… Right… And they are playing with fire. The present US Deep State anti-“populist” hysteria reminds me of the ever increasing insults against the Populists in Rome (starting 150 BCE)… Ultimately, the anger led to Civil Wars, and the destruction of the Roman Republic…. And the Populists were right: redistribution of wealth was necessary. Consul Caesar imposed it in 59 BCE, over the hate of the Senate. So the plutocrats assassinated Caesar in 44 BCE in the most treacherous circumstances.
Yet the US is stronger than ever. Why? The USA is mostly a federally organized local part-direct democracy (especially California). One fights best from ruins. The integration and exploitation of characters like Musk, initially an illegal immigrant, helps make the USA strong. Musk spent just one day as a student in Stanford (alma mater of mine).. in the Applied Physics Department. Then Musk was not a student anymore, thus Musk was illegal, but got massively funded by VCs before that was revealed. European immigration is often, overall, of a lesser quality, for reasons which are obvious to whoever tried to immigrate to the US and also, to the EU (as yours truly did).
The only thing which could ruin the USA would be an all-out attack by a thermonuclear armed power. The best way to prevent this is high military spending, especially in research and developments of new weapons (there is such a thing as ruinous, ineffective weapon systems. Arguably, two of the slow US stealth planes…)
***
NC: China and Russia are on a mad path
PA: Indeed. Completely mad. Replacing the more democratic constitutions of China and Russia put in place more than two decades ago by “presidencies” for life, has brought tyranny, and tyranny plus nukes is madness. The Chinese and Russian militaries should move in, terminate the tyrants and re-democratize (that can be done: consider Chile, Brasil, or most of the EU countries). Meanwhile, we are on the brink…
Nathan Curry: I don’t see Ukraine as innocent in any way
PA: Aren’t we all culprit? That one was taught by the all-too real acolytes of the mythical Christ. We The People are sinners, etc.
Ukraine has been at war against the tyrannical principle which made the Kremlin powerful, ever since 1240 CE. The aggression of the Kremlin against Kyiv’s democratic principle comes all the way back from the genocidal Mongols having made the Kremlin’s founder, Alexander Nevsky, Prince of… Kyiv. War has been pretty much continuous for the last three centuries when the Ukrainian Cossacks discovered, to their dismay, that the Kremlin viewed their alliance treaty (against Poles and Lithuanians) as an annexation agreement.
NC: But I do believe America has gotten cocky.
PA: Indeed. The best proof of that cockiness was Biden’s demolition of the French submarine naval contract with Australia. That was sheer hubris on the part of the USA. Biden called that AUKUS. Biden used a tissue of grievous lies, many extremely dangerous for the safety of democracy. It turns out that Biden is incapable of maintaining the US submarine fleet, let alone build one for Australia. But, in the US Deep State’s imagination, France should not exist, or at least not exist in the Pacific. That’s total hubris. In truth, the USA needs Europe, just to safeguard democracy in the West. Even Trump understood this. But the US Deep State is extremely cocky, and Biden is their man. The fact that Deep State could make their man president boosted its cockiness. It’s a virtuous circle of cockiness.
NC: And Britain is dancing with the devil with NATO
NATO itself is not per se a problem. NATO operates often unanimously. For example, Turkey has blocked the accession of Sweden, all by itself. The problem arises when the USA uses NATO to achieve dominance in ways not militarily justified. Britain depends upon the US with its submarines and the F35 fleet. Britain should have instead more programs in common with France like the Typhoon/Eurofighter or the Storm Shadow/SCALP missile or the METEOR air to air ramjet. SCALP (mostly French) uses AI to recognize the targets independently of jammed GPS… And the precision can be devastating: two SCALPs hit a billion dollar sub, destroying it completely.
NC: I predict Trump will win
PA: May well happen, in spite of all the bogus indictments. Most voters in the USA increasingly feel that Trump’s governance has been better than Biden… who, for most of the important stuff (re-industrialization, China, Border, even fossil fuels!) has just followed Trump, like the sheep follows the man. Biden is even building the Wall Trump started… The anti-Trump New York Times admitted last week that Biden building Trump’s wall was…. “confusing“… The 219 wells in Alaskan North Slope wilderness, just for Conocophillips, are just as “confusing“…. I think all these decisions make sense BTW, but Biden ran against them as candidate for the presidency.
NC: And something will happen in the South China sea… that will lead to a tipping point.
PA: Xi is stupid enough for having an accident in the South China sea. Best way to re-industrialize the West, cynics would add…
NC: There is a major bloodbath on the horizon
PA: When Antarctica melts big time, it will be a bath. Bloodbaths can even arrive prior to that. The war in Ukraine is a climate change war.
NC: Everything you wrote rings true. But we have a Chamberlain in Biden. And the kind of primitive leader in Trump who would take his nation to war over a triviality.
PA: Chamberlain made a mistake in Munich. However, from his point of view, he gave (a shameful, idiotic) peace a chance. Meanwhile, he was rearming Britain, in particular with newer, better planes, and a Royal Navy full of aircraft carriers. On rearmament, Chamberlain was more right than Churchill (who wanted to mass produce right away obsolete types of planes).
NC: I never got what was going on with the Australian deal until I read your commentary about the same.
PA: The US does not have the capability of providing any sub to Australia, and certainly not the new, most advanced Air Independent Propulsion subs the French Naval Group was going to provide to Australia. France has long sold a number of AIP sub types to a number of countries. Six countries, including China, have the tech, the USA does not. The South China sea confrontation is all about the Chinese AIP subs. Xi hopes Chinese AIP subs could interdict the South China sea.
NC: France is still so important. Britain has gone down the tubes politically.
PA: Britain is undermined by Brexit. At this point, Britain is the most institutionally disconnected country in Europe. Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, even Turkey are more European-connected than Britain. However, when the wind goes down, French electricity will come to the rescue thanks to undersea cables.
NC: Biden in my view is better than Trump.
PA Fossil fuel cynics could argue that Biden opened Alaskan wilderness for oil exploration.
Biden authorized 219 new oil wells for Conocco-Philips on Alaska’s North Slope. Trump could never have done that. So Biden is better that Trump, fossil fuel-wise…
NC: I really see the larger story is related to a breakdown of western culture. The woke liberals have gone mad. And bred their nemesis. It’s a shit show. I think feminism has done far more harm than good in recent decades.
PA: Plutocracy, the rule of the ultra wealthy and their enablers, is evil both in its nature and by self-preservation. So, throughout history, plutocracy fosters ideologies which disempower those plutocracy rules over. The best way to accomplish this is to make We The People stupid. Christianism is not just a slave religion (Nietzsche), but also a stupid religion with its all-powerful, omniscient god who lets himself be crucified and then whines about it.
NC: I see a world that is about to be overcome by a Greek word which Jung liked. It means when we don’t account sufficiently for the opposite, which is what 2000 years of Christianity has done. I have been thinking what’s the tipping point.
PA: Jung worried about hybris (= hubris). Superficially, hubris was the undoing of Athens. But in truth, it’s STUPIDITY which made Athens lose the Peloponnesian War. Hubris was the motivation, stupidity was the enabler. Pericles himself said it, speaking about the “plague” which affected Athens:”I didn’t anticipate that!”… Well, it was EASY to anticipate, as Pericles crowded the entire population of Attica behind Athens’ walls… And overcrowding was well-known to cause plagues. Then Pericles doubled up by stuffing the warships of the entire navy, and going on the attack that way… He was tried for the latter catastrophic decision.
Arrogantly letting war blossom when time was on the side of Athens was stupid. Passing aggressive ultra nationalistic laws excluding citizens from citizenship, including Pericles’ own son, in the middle of all-out war of survival, was stupid. Attacking Syracuse was stupid. Firing Alcibiades for superstitious unfounded allegations after accepting his project to attack Syracuse, was stupid. Having the top Athenian general at Syracuse being afraid of a (predicted) solar eclipse, and acting accordingly stupidly, was stupid. Destroying Melos was stupid. Executing the victorious Athenian general officers after their great victory was stupid. Leaving the fleet on the beach with the Spartan fleet a few miles away was stupid, etc...
Nathan Curry: I was looking to the future. But then I realized it’s already happened. Letting Russia invade Ukraine in 2014.
PA: Obama did that. But I know Obama, and I know he knows nothing about military history. Obama sent meals ready to eat. Trump sent Javelins. Then the Democratic Congress blocked the Javelins, Afghanistan fell to ultra misogynists, and Putin attacked… Did somebody real smart lay a trap? Is Putin a CIA agent?
Ukraine will get stronger and stronger against Russia. Putin will get more and more desperate.
PA: Zelensky suggested Putin will be back with nuclear threats before soon…
There will be a skirmish in the straits of Taiwan or off Palawan. Leading to a full on attack. The eastern front is Taiwan. The western front is Ukraine. It’s just a matter of time. In the middle east the Zionist agenda will become a major war. I mean it is already. We have reached genocidal proportions now with the attack on Israel
PA: War is the ultimate debate.
Patrice Ayme