Aborting World Wars: A Timely Art.

World War Three is growing, but can still be aborted with decisive, that is, military, action.

Ian Miller asks: “So the strategy for avoiding a big war is to ramp up a small war?”

Absolutely! Same idea as cutting off a limb before generalized gangrene, or same idea as vaccination, or same idea as drenching a fire when it gets started. The point is that moods propagate. When tyrants see other tyrants thrive, they do the same, and make alliances with them. That’s how the Roman civilization collapsed within a few years, bringing demographic collapse of up to 90%, and extremely lowered standards of living for survivors. 

Generally big wars start as a more tyrannical or plutocratic regime invading versus a more democratic or benevolent regime defending. Or vultures or scavenging nomads against settled civilization. Examples of this are legions in the last 5,000 years. 

The model applies even to inter-European wars of the last millennium: if one digs, one can always find bad guys or bad acts fomenting the pits. A refined example was the Pitts Prime Ministers of the UK who absolutely wanted a war with France in the Eighteenth Century. Gross examples are the Huns, Avars and Mongols invading Europe. The latter were all stopped by force (including in China, see the Ming rebellion).

If a morally-worse regime is crushed early on, it will stop. Had the US joined France in 1914, or 1939, the world wars would have probably stopped in 1915 and 1940, respectively. The Kaiser would have run out of ammunition, and Hitler out of generals.

The strategy to prevent a world war is to crush decisively attempts of tyrants to get a cascading advantage. This argument was made by Themistocles regarding Persia. Athens followed him, and Persia got crushed at Marathon, and later on during the second invasion attempt, thanks to Themistocles’ trireme fleet.

The argument that one should crush the tyrant early was repeated ad nauseam by philosopher and statesman Demosthenenes regarding Philipp of Macedonia. And it failed, by a hair… resulting in a 23 centurie eclipse of democracy. Had the Spartans been at the decisive battle, Macedonia would barely be mentioned in history books: Philipp and Alexander nearly got defeated, a few thousands Spartans would have won the battle.

Notice that in the case of Putin, “ramping up” was his work, devastating Chechnya (1999); then invading Georgia (2008)… where it was stopped by US soldiers’ presence… more than a thousand of them, advisers; then Ukraine (2014) 

Themistocles

Patrice Ayme

If You Want Peace, Arm Ukraine To The Max ASAP

There is such a thing as military science, comprising, in part, the study of past wars. There are patterns.

Humanity is good and, or evil, according to prospects and circumstances. According to the law of action equals reaction, any violence will bring at least the same equal and opposite violence. One does not stop a modern military force through negotiations, but by defeating it on the battlefield. Defeat does not imply necessarily direct confrontation: McArthur, through island hopping, defeated the Japanese imperial army by circumventing its strong points and cutting it off: no food, and no fuel or ammunition. Most Japanese imperial soldiers in WWII in the Pacific theater died from starvation.

In 1931, a rogue Japanese army attacked Manchuria, seizing it from China. Tokyo was aghast. But the offensive was lightning fast, and a success, so Tokyo did nothing. In retrospect, World War Two had started: for the next ten years, the Japanese army would invade China ever more, fostering a genocide. Japanese army brutality would encourage Stalin to kill 6 million Ukrainians in 1933 (Holodomor). Hitler followed suit, making the “Axis” with Japan and fascist Italy, and invading Spain in 1936. France nearly helped the Spanish Republic… But the UK and US were opposed to it.

And Japan was fueled… by US oil. 

When France and Britain declared war to Hitler, that dictator was allied to the Kremlin (providing oil to the Reich, among other things). The US reacted by accusing France and Britain of “belligerence” and applied sanctions.

When France fell to the Nazis, the US didn’t even bark (Canada sent troops, which were beaten). Instead, FDR, having forgotten his “guarantees” to France, and after seven years of effectively pro-Nazi policies (covered up by criticism of Hitler), sent his right hand man to the junta in Vichy. The very dark deep US state, its universities, etc. had interest to see the French empire collapse: it would become part of the US empire. World government, ladies and gentlemen! 

Two to three million died in the French empire during WWII, up to 15 times US loss of lives. It’s a general feature of WWII that, so great was the destruction, including of archives, that sometimes one has no idea how many people died. Early estimates of the number of Chinese killed were from six to ten million. Most recent estimates are more than 50 million (even Japanese media now admits very high numbers)! After the war, many governments had no interest in revealing the extent of their failure to protect their own population… Or that they unconditionally, yet stealthy, surrendered to the victorious US deep state and its greedy plutocratic corporations…

In other words, WWII happened greatly because of divisions among the leading democracies and their friends… Many pursued their personal agenda. As usual, US plutocrats were allowed to run rampant, creating not just profit, but havoc by empowering dictators. 

This time, contrarily to what happened in the 1930s and early 1940s, confronted with the blatantly genocidal invasion of Ukraine, democracies have been in one block. Democracies have apparently been instructed by what happened in WWII: then, in the 1930s and early 1940s, the initial languor and disunion of democracies, and even their crass interest (not just the USA, but also Switzerland, Sweden, etc.) made the tyrannies strong. The democracies did not react properly when fascist Japan (invading China), fascist Italy (invading Ethiopia, Spain), and fascist Germany (invading the Rhineland, Spain) engaged in world war activities. Had the democracies acted in one block, early on, World War Two and its holocausts would not have happened.

So the democracies acted correctly this time: a fascist acted up, Putin, and invaded a democracy, which cried for help. The democracies passed the ammunition. In 1936, when fascist Germany organized the invasion of the Spanish Republic by a rogue army, the Spanish Republic asked the democracies for ammunition. Socialist France said yes, and then no, because the Anglo-Saxon leaders seemed to have liked what they saw, war in Europe. 

So this time the democracies are passing the ammunition. Good. But they are running out of ammunition.

At the peak of the fighting in East Ukraine’s Donbas region, Russia was using more ammunition in two days than the entire stock of the British military, according to the Royal United Services Institute, a British think tank. Europe has ideas, but no weapons. The Kremlin is the opposite: plenty of weapons, little mind. 

***

It has helped this endeavor, helping Ukraine to survive, that the USA is, in the guise of reinforcing and arming Europe, has been able to extend juicy military contracts all over, turning all European powers, except France, so far, into military satellites. In particular, the US has sold F35 “stealth” fighter-bombers all over, and these are contracts meant to last 40 years… When a power agrees to buy 50 F35s, that’s 5 billion dollars, before maintenance and support, and there is no money for an equivalent European system. Now the increasing dependence of US manufacturing and military has been extended to anti-aircraft and anti-missile systems [1]. 

Negotiating with Putin is impossible: as a tyrant who has killed too many already, he has to win, or die, he and his kind. Right, the US is extending its empire, somewhat irreversibly… But, well, the Europeans made love, not war, and now that war is upon them, they are not ready physically or mentally to engage that way. Loving Putin is not an option anymore, love didn’t capture Putin and his clique, so Europeans have to let the US make war on Putin. As ancient Greeks used to say, the weak do what they must, the strong, what they can. By giving Ukraine the means to defend itself, the US incited all of Europe but France to become a US client state. This is a giant investment coup, which will profit the USA long term. The rest is creative destruction, nothing that high quality immigration can’t easily overcome.

The choice now is between the not so benign US empire of plutocracy, or thoroughly genocidal Kremlin Nazism (fake National-Socialism of real oligarchy).  

To prevent Putin’s win, all and any classical weapons should be provided to Ukraine, As Soon As Possible. Ukraine can bomb all Russian cities, just as Russia has bombed all Ukrainian cities. WWII blossomed because maximal war measures were not taken by democracies early enough.

In war, momentum is important: Ukraine has it now. If Putin can get Russia in a state of total war and total mobilization, thus total tyranny, so much the better for him, because he is the tyrant. Now if that tyrant blossoms that way, many other tyrants, or would-be tyrants, will be so inspired. This basically happened after a rogue Japanese army invaded Manchuria: tyrants, would be tyrants and their fellow travelers got inspired all over.

And history doesn’t truly repeat itself: now there are nukes. The Chinese tyranny is set on acquiring enough to destroy the world (by more than quadrupling its strategic nuclear weapons). All this will make the world ever more unstable, by switching from a two body problem (Russian tyranny + USA) to a three body problem (Russia, US, China).

In 1939, it took barely more than a week to expel Russia from the Society of Nations (UN version 1), after the Kremlin attacked Finland to invade and eradicate it. What are we waiting to expel Russia from the UN? That would solve the problem of the Russian veto at the UNSC. 

Russia should stick to culture, and sort of disarm, like the rest of Europe: here below a cathedral in Saint Petersburg… Magnificent:

[1] France has the Rafale active stealth fighter-bomber. The F35 is actually an imitation of the Rafale, but more oriented to passive stealth from the frontal aspect in some radar frequencies. The F35 would be better in some SEADs (Suppression Electronic Air Defenses). The Rafale has proven imminently capable in SEADs during a real war in Libya (F35 has barely been engaged by Israel in combat in Syria). Moreover, the Rafale is much more competent in “beast mode” (fully loaded with ammunition.

***

Europe, but for France (and Italy), have opted for US anti-ballistics with Patriot… While France produces the just as competent anti-ballistic Aster (and Italy and the UK are also Aster equipped). By ordering Patriot instead of Aster, countries such as Germany and Poland ingratiate themselves to, and become clients of, the US, not France. Ordering Patriot is an application to the status of a US subsidiary state

Kremlin Nazis To Flee To South America?

The imitation Nazis in the Kremlin are ironically considering fleeing to the same places as the original Nazis of 1945, in South America. Talk about a funny development! The end of The Times article quoted in an essay by Putin propagandists (!) “Pentagon gives Ukraine green light for drone strikes inside Russia” is the following… and it is most revealing (it’s also revealing that Putin propagandists would use articles highly critical of them by cherry picking a few quotes. Putin propagandists are smart!): 

“In public, Putin and other Kremlin officials continue to insist that their “special military operation” will be a success. Yet in private, the president and his henchmen are thought to have begun to make plans for an escape.

“Putin’s entourage has not ruled out that he will lose the war, be stripped of power, and have to urgently evacuate somewhere,” Abbas Gallyamov, a former Kremlin speechwriter who is now a political analyst, wrote on Telegram. Citing an unnamed insider, Gallyamov said the Kremlin was considering Argentina or Venezuela as safe havens. Igor Sechin, a senior Putin ally, is thought to be overseeing the project, which is codenamed Noah’s Ark.”

There you have it: reality in full: not even the “eternal friendship with China” will save the Nazis in the Kremlin from the same fate as the 1945 Nazis in Berlin. The entire planet, including India and China, have told Putin to stop with his nuclear blackmail. So Putin and his henchmen had to back down on their nuclear threats. Various political leaders who talked directly to Putin, have asserted this, including the French president and the German Chancellor (just yesterday). Absent the nuclear blackmail, the probability that Putin and his henchmen lose is more than 50%. Actually the Putin propagandists in Moscow, including the head of RT, have started to consider this, that they will be dragged at La Hague in front of the International Criminal Court. 

With characteristic ingeniosity, one of Putin’s master propagandists suggested to nuclear bomb La Hague, to avoid having to go there, but his colleagues were not that sanguine and expressed real fear that, like the Nazis of 1945, they and the “higher ups” would be tried for their genocide (Putin’s criminal organization has already stolen more than 40,000 Ukrainian children, which is a clearly defined act of genocide).

At Nuremberg, the Nazi propagandists, Rosenberg and Von Ribbentrop, were condemned to death and executed (there were 2 of them out of 21 of the initial trial of Nazi leaders).  

Stalin, Hitler and Mussolini were enabled by the grossest propaganda. Stalin killed 6 million Ukrainians in 1933 in the Holodomor (launched in December 1932). That genocide, in turn, encouraged Hitler to do the same in Poland, and then with the Jews and others (Gypsies, Soviet Prisoners, Ukrainians, etc.). Europe has learned that these dictators had been enabled by propaganda which played a crucial role in the rout of 1940. Accordingly Putin propagandists have been outlawed in Europe, and shut down. There is still some work to be done. The world’s largest land empire, 17 million square kilometers, is Russia, and Putin has used the war as a crafty way to draft minorities in priority, with the obvious goal of exterminating them. One more genocidal charge. 

It’s increasingly unlikely that Putin’s minion propagandists in the West will NOT be enough to save the Kremlin tyrant and his henchmen… Venezuela, here we come! Oh, I know, to believe Maduro would not surrender Putin to La Hague is another demonstration of the abysmal stupidity and lack of general knowledge of Kremlin’s strategists…

The criminal oligarchy in the Kremlin became arrogant for the exact same reason as the Nazis: they felt overconfident from the complicity they profited in the West (and helped instal them).

Patrice Ayme 

Nazi ratlines that spirited thousands of war criminals to freedom are revealed in a new book chronicling the murderous reign of a top foreign office official during the Third Reich.

9,000 Nazi war criminals fled to South America after WWII. Argentina welcomed up to 5,000 Nazis.

After 1945 the scale of the horror of the Holocaust came to light. Faced with unprecedented cruelty, much of the world responded with unprecedented vigor. The new term “crimes against humanity” was coined in the subsequent Nuremberg trials, as Allied lawyers called senior Nazis to account.

Yet fewer than 300 Nazis faced judgment in the Nuremberg trials in Germany while up to 9,000 Nazis by some counts were spirited away from Europe after World War II, helped by sympathetic agents and friends. [A less sympathetic France may have executed up to 40,000 Nazis and collaborators, many of them in expedited tribunals, though…]

The life of Horst Wagner, a man with the blood of at least 350,000 Jews on his hands, is detailed in Beloved Criminal: A Diplomat In The Service Of The Final Solution.

Wagner was the link-man between the foreign office and the SS In this role, he aided in the round-ups, deportation and extermination of both German and foreign Jews.

This first major work on him by Gisela Heidenreich is also an intensely personal one for the author – her own mother Edith met and fell in love with him during the war.

During his years in exile Wagner remained in contact with Edith by post, letters which her daughter uses in her work chronicling the escape routes and mini-Reich that the fugitives built for themselves in Argentina.

Heidenreich, who works as a family therapist, has the blood of the Nazi regime in her. She was born into a Lebensborn home – set up by the S.S. for unmarried mothers to give birth and donate their children to the Nazi state.

Her father was the commander of the SS officer school at Bad Toelz in Bavaria.

Wagner, she said, dreamed of becoming her stepfather after he began his affair with her mother.

After escaping from a Nuremberg jail in 1948, he later explained to Heidenreich’s mother how he was aided on his way to South America on the so-called Kloster Line, being given sanctuary in a number of convents and holy orders in Austria before heading to Rome. There the German bishop Alois Hudal, priest-confessor to the German Catholic community in the city, arranged for him to get a Red Cross passport in 1951. Hudal also arranged the paperwork for Franz Stangl, the commandant of the extermination camps of Sobibor and Treblinka, to flee to Brazil on a Red Cross passport using Vatican funds.

Carl Jacob Burckhardt, President of the International Red Cross in the years after World War II. In his 2011 book Nazis on the Run: How Hitler’s Henchmen Fled Justice, historian Gerald Steinacher chronicles Burckhardt’s anti-Semitism, as well as his penchant for helping Germans, including former Nazis…

And so on: worldwide criminal oligarchies are nothing new. The criminal Putin Reich was established with a lot of complicity in the West. Just look at (probable) KGB agent Merkel… But Putin and his KGB had agents all over the place… And the West profited from Russian oligarchs bleeding Russia dry…

Learning From Nazi Victory In 1940: Foolhardy Can Work

War determines history. To learn from history, then, is to learn from war. War is full of surprises, because surprises are what makes attacks possible. A democracy can be defeated at a stupendous speed in a surprising attack, by a wound in the heel, like Achilles. The most enlightening defeat is that of France by Hitler in 1940. Because the factors in the French defeat show that it could happen to democracy again, just way worse. Lunatics like Xi and Putin could push the button: their minions won’t stop them.

In May 1940, in a completely unlikely fashion, the Nazi army defeated by surprise the French Republic. It would be a bit as if the Chinese dictatorship of Xi defeated by surprise the United States of America. It made little sense, when looking at the forces, and should not have happened. If any of several extraordinary technical factors and calamitous decisions had not be present, and they should not have been present, the Nazis would have suffered a crushing defeat.

One myth about World War Two is that German genius came up with an amazing plan, what later Churchill called a “sickle” strike. That’s true in a way, but the plan was adopted in despair, and worked, thanks to a number of miracles operating in concert with colossal incompetence of one man, general Gamelin, who had dictated to the french army for 9 years. 

Hitler was the one who approved this extremely foolhardy plan which could work only by miracle. And that plan came to be known as “Blitzkrieg”, lightning war… instead of its proper name, Bewegungskrieg (movement war, French: guerre de mouvement)… That particular attack of May 1940. instead of being called foolhardy, which it was, came to be considered a proof of genius. 

So later Hitler thought he was a genius who could make miracles… forgetting 50,000 of the most elite Nazi soldiers died in 6 weeks of rude combat in France… And that Gamelin was Hitler’s most precious collaborator. Hitler was no genius, and couldn’t make miracles: next time Hitler tried something like that, in Crete, the nearly entire Nazi paratrooper corps won, indeed, but also (nearly) all died.   

So Germany did NOT “see it coming a mile away” that the French would know how the Nazis would attack, and thus the Nazis divised a completely foolhardy plan to defeat the French army, which was more formidable than the Nazi army.

Instead  god operated a miracle. A plane with the Nazi plans crashed in Belgium! The officers on board tried to destroy the plans by burning them after the crash. But the plan burning was partly unsuccessful before they were taken prisoner. This Mechelen incident forced the OKH (German Army High Command) to revise their entire strategy now that they knew that the Allies knew their plan. That was too bad, because the initial plan, Fall Gelb, had indeed been fully anticipated by the French (and thus would have been crushed). 

So Hitler ordered to change the plan… and knowing they would otherwise lose, the Nazi general Von Manstein came up with a completely crazy plan: two-thirds of the German army and armor was to go through three mountain roads of Belgium and Luxembourg. It helped that the British Inspector of the Allied Forces ex-King Edward VIII sent a note to Hitler telling him where to strike (at Sedan). The note was kept by Albert Speer…Guderian, head of the Panzer at Sedan got nearly killed by a boar head which fell from the wall from the shock of a French bomb from a plane. He called the OKH and told it that they couldn’t get through, French defenses were too lethal to cross the Meuse river. Guderian was told to attack and breakthrough, no matter what. Guderain sent suicidal Nazi engineers  with exploding backpacks. Four top elite Nazi formations, including three armored divisions (Panzers), plus the entire Luftwaffe were facing one “crocodile” (wrinkled men) reserve French infantry B division… The 55th division, which had only one anti-aircraft battery (reminiscent of the very few anti-air systems which the democratic West had in 2022).

The crazy plan of getting the German army through the Ardennes worked through sheer luck, not believing some French and British pilots who saw the immense, 200 kilometers traffic jam, and possible betrayal of a few French generals, and, or, their amazing incompetence in denial of millennia of basic strategy… The French C in C sent the seven divisions of the French armored reserve to the Netherlands… By itself, those seven divisions had roughly the same power and speed as the entire Nazi armor. 

Nazi ardor should not be underestimated: the French command estimated that it would take the huge mechanized force of tanks, armored and reconnaissance vehicles a week to cross the Ardennes. But, without significant Belgian resistance… Belgium was “neutral” just before that!… it took the Nazi army just a day…

The fact that the Nazis had trained in war conquering Spain for three years helped them (radio in tanks, communications with planes, need for decisive speed). By the time France and Britain learned how modern war was fought, a week after the German breakthrough at Sedan, all the best French armies and the British expeditionary force had been surrounded and cut off from fuel and support.

Many other exceptional factors played a role in disservice of the cause of democracy in May-June 1940, including the facts the US refused to deliver its “guarantees” to the French Republic, and, instead, negotiated with the Nazis (little known fact). One goes away with the ill feeling that Washington didn’t mind if a few Jews and French got injured in this American experiment to let the Nazis rule Europe…

It is worth repeating this story.

The huge mistake the democracies made before 1940 was not to fight Hitler in 1936, when he invaded the West Bank of the Rhine and militarily invaded and attacked the Spanish Republic. Without the Nazi intervention, the fascist coup by part of the Spanish army would have failed, because the Spanish Navy did not betray the Republic.

If France had intervened militarily in 1936 and fought the Nazis, the French army would have learned a few tricks it needed to learn, and the French government would have had all the reasons if needed to fire the Chief of Staff Gamelin (who got to that position in 1931, so was entrenched)… which was correctly suspected of incompetence and Nazi sympathies… But  French Jewish PM Blum of 1936 was not going to fire him, notr attack the Nazis in Spain while Britain and the USA disapproved… etc…

Second best, an all-out French offensive in 1939 would have shown to French politicians that something was so wrong with the French command, that it needed to be replaced immediately (French politicians had been inclined to fire C in C Gamelin for several years already).

***

DEMOCRACIES HAVE LEARNED A BIT FROM 1940:  

That mistake, of not fighting the genocidal tyrant early, is not repeated in Ukraine: the democracies have understood the danger, and stand united, whereas in 1939-1940, the USA stayed deliberately in a position which de facto supported the fascist regimes. For example US capitalists provided Japan with the oil it needed to pursue its genocide in China.

In the 1930s and in 1940-41, the US practiced “divide and rule” on the grandest scale, helping the fascists to defeat democracies, because those democracies were rivals and in the way of the USA. 

Some will object to this analysis, and tell me that I am confusing the US government and its revolving door of US capitalists accessing the lever of powers of said government…  Chinese analysts would understand perfectly wel what I mean: they use the effect themselves at this point in the hope of controlling the world, for example by having Chinese enterprises buying most of the large mines in Congo.  

In 2022, de facto, Ukraine has become part of NATO. The total defense and security assistance  provided to Ukraine by Western nations in the current year stands, on November 1, 2022 at EUR 41.3 billion, which is 86% of the military budget of the aggressor power, the Russian Federation.

By getting militarily involved, the West is learning to fight a modern war. Armageddonic threats from the nuclear dictator, reminiscent of those of Hitler, have been correctly ignored: one cannot let madmen decide the fate of humanity. Let them rage. The Russians have to understand as soon as possible that their tyrant will only bring them ruin… A notion, the self-destruction brought by tyrants, which crept forward too slowly with Hitler and Mussolini…

And one thing that the democracies are learning is that they are insufficiently defended.

Three Nazi Panzer divisions (plus the elite Gross Deutschland regiment, not shown, on the left flank of the 10th Panzer) converged on the 55th B Reserve French divisions to cross the Meuse river). The foolhardiness of the German nazis was made possible not just by the stupidity of the French C in C, but also Belgian neutrality, which prevented the building of the Maginot line through Belgium, thanks to US diplomatic intervention, and, then, in 1939-40, prevented the presence of the French army in the Belgian Ardennes… which, at the very least, would have acted as a trigger wire…

Attackers win by breaking the balanced state of things, thus by using surprise, most of the time. If one sees that a rattle snake is going to strike, one will avoid it, that’s why rattlers have rattles, and know how to use them… even though their brains are really very small. 

In his despair, Hitler tried something very foolhardy in 1940. In his arguably even greater despair, Putin may try something even more foolhardy in 2023, when he realizes that his frigid plan to freeze Europeans in general and Ukrainians most particularly, is not working. Thankfully, subsequent to my essay (which was sent to Biden), Biden alerted the world to Putin’s Armageddon solution, going nuclear big time, and by surprise. Since then, rumors and open critiques, even in Russian state media, have been preparing the information groundwork to think the previously unthinkable: not nuclear war, but the simpler solution of removing Putin…

In his despair, Hitler tried something very foolhardy in 1940, and it worked. But, after that Nazi foolhardiness didn’t work anymore (although it seemed to work in the first four months of Babarossa; after that Guderian observed that the Russians had learned Nazi Bewegungkrieg…) The Japanese high command, in its despair, running out of oil suddenly cut by the suddenly not friendly Americans, imitated Hitler’s foolhardines in December 1941, by “awakening the sleeping giant” (as Admiral Yamamoto put it)… just when the Nazis started to freeze in sight of the Kremlin’s golden roofs… So the Japanese attacked at Pearl Harbor, foolhardiness seemed to work, but within a few months, they found themselves defeated at the Coral Sea battle (which prevented the complete conquest of New Guinea and thus, Australia), and then crushed at Midway (where Japanese naval aviation went to rejoin the bottom of the sea). 

Foolhardiness works sometimes… But, in the nuclear age, it’s not a risk humanity should tolerate. However, here we are: Russian military chiefs discussed the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Another reason to do without desperate tyrants. It’s no accident that Western stories vilains are often called “desperados”. “Desperados” will do foolish things… By being foolish, they got desperate. By being foolish, they surprised some people and encountered some success. But one can’t fool all people all the time…

Patrice Ayme

WHAT IS THE MOST BRUTAL TRUTH ABOUT WORLD WAR 2?

This Is TOTAL WAR, Appeasing Putin Makes Him Worse… As Happened With Hitler.

Only a force greater than his own, can stop a criminal against humanity. Because he has nothing to loose, having burned his bridges with humanity, busy as he is, killing children, the criminal against humanity is in the mood of his victory, by all and any means, or his own death (the latter to be avoided at all and any cost).

True evil is a demonic neurology which feels that fear, pain and punishment, anguish, horror and consternation are their own rewards. Evil carries its own rewards.

However, if, on top of being rewarding by itself, evil bring in material goodies, a plush life, so much the better! So it has been for Putin and his fellow criminals, since 1999. But now they are older, running out of time, thus more ambitious. The top Prussian generals in 1914 felt the same: old and on their way out, it was their last chance to use their wonderful war machine, and leave a mark for centuries to come.

The more successful evil is, the more evil captures the neurology of the perpetrator(s). Evil is a neurohormonal chain reaction. The more successful horrendous criminals against humanity are, the worse they get. The more democracies let the nuclear tyrant become ever more successful, the worst he will get. Appeasing him, hoping he will get reasonable, making him concessions, is encouraging him.

The Secretary General of NATO begged Putin to become reasonable (on 3/4/2022). This weak and uncomprehending character, curiously at the head of a military alliance when he does not understand the first thing military, does not understand that Putin is reasoning on a completely different scale, where the reasons of cockroaches are just all about cockroaches, not about the reasons of those who crush cockroaches.

The nuclear tyrant Putin is coming for you, he is just warming up by targetting civilians, killing little children, setting fire to nuclear power plants… This war where Russia becomes the world’s greatest power for all to obey, is just starting. And in the way that is already true that Russia is the world’s greatest power, because it is 6,257 nukes!

Not fighting with full force as early as possible against Putin makes him successful, hence worse. We had the same problem developing with Hitler, Mussolini, or the Kaiser, a while back… Too little, too late, and too much hope that evil would restraint itself if one behave.

Thus all too many victims of the Nazis tried to be nice to their executioners.

This time what we risk is full blown nuclear war, if we do not crush Putin while his evil has not yet contaminated too many of his servants. If Putin becomes more successful he will make more adherents, admirers and accomplices.

The more the war last, the more Russians will sink with their evil Fuhrer Vlad the Mad into insanity, and criminality. Thus we may get the same situation as with the Nazis, when most Germans kept on fighting precisely because such terrible horrors had been made in their name, and by themselves… By 1944 most Germans knew they had killed the Jews and they had a feeling of collective responsibility, and they grimly kept on fighting because they knew they had taken part in a collective crime.

And when one is a criminal, one may as well go all the way. 11 women raped by Putin’s soldiers have been reported in Kherson (many of the southern soldiers, displaying a “Z” are tough professional soldiers coming from Crimea). Five of these eleven were killed: hey no witness, no bother…

We are strategically somewhere between 1936 and 1940 [1]… But the more we wait, the bigger the nuclear war. If Putin is defeated thoroughly now, he may explode a few nukes, but he will be thrown out.

However, if we let Putin turn his massacre of Ukraine, the destruction of a democracy, into an undeniable military success, Putin will be confirmed in his conventional and nuclear ferocity. He will be on a roll, he will have to be on a roll, for reasons I will explain in another essay.

Wisdom, now, is to go all out. If Ukraine falls, we are doomed.

And what about the nukes? Weak cowards will whine, and tremble. Well, if they are to fall, they were to fall anyway. The last thing to do with a madman who threatens to use nuclear weapons, is to start doing what he wants.

Patrice Ayme

One of Putin’s bombings in central Ukraine, February 2022. Putin has been using bombs over Ukrainian cities bombs so powerful that these bombs have replaces nukes in the Russian arsenal.

[1] If France and Czekoslovakia had rejected Hitler’s ultimatum in 1938, and it had come to war, they would have won. Instead Czekoslovakia was betrayed, and forced to surrender without fighting. Two prominent results: 1) Hitler captured the important Czek armament industry; in 1940, half of the 2,000 Nazi tanls were captured Czek tanks. 2) By 1939, the Russians made official their (previously secret) alliance with the USSR. When Nazi tanks drove into France, they were fueled by Stalin.

Right now, Putin is allied with Xi, but Xi is still careful, because he is not sure that Putin will win. However, Xi’s fanaticized, anti-democracy public Internet opinion is fanatically pro-Putin…. If Putin wins, Xi will constitute with Putin a new Axis for all to see…

Nuclear War Blackmail Is Potentially The Biggest Holocaust Of Them All. Putin Threatened Apocalypse

Putin threatened a nuclear apocalypse, hence revealing himself and his regime for what they are, a thermonuclear dictatorship… (Apocalypse means revelation.)

Where Does Putin’s Mentality Come From? The Golden Horde! With Whom Moscow Collaborated, Until Beating It At Its Own Game!

Russia, Putin’s style was born out of war… squared. First the newly created Moscow, a fort on a river, became the tax collector of the Mongols who had invaded Rus. That was the first side of the square. After a couple of centuries of this, Moscow became wealthy and military savvy. Moscow then rebelled against its masters, beating them at their own game. That was the second side: Moscow destroyed the Mongols by becoming even worse than them to destroy them, and thus erected that success into a triumphant morality, where the ends justify any means, and they are all tied up to the Kremlin…

In the fullness of time, thanks to a bit of Golden Horde type duplicity, Moscow ended up occupying not just Ukraine, which it nicknamed “Little Russia”, but also most of Eastern Europe, including the Baltic countries and Poland. 

First in 1919, and then again after 1991, Russia lost these countries it had occupied, colonized, and subjugated… Going to the point of outlawing languages such as Ukrainian…  

In this bloody subjugating, genocidal past, Putin has found a moral justification, which he flaunts in his version of history. 

To Mr. Putin — and many other Russians — the conflict with Ukraine is about a hurt national psyche, a historical injustice to be set right.

The truth is the exact opposite. It’s not Moscow which should own Kyiv, but Moscow which, created and poisoned by the Golden Horde subjugation, is actually a consequence of Kievan Rus.

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EXPLAINING NATO TO LITTLE CHILDREN:

If the USA had been aligned with the French Republic in 1936, 1937, 1938, 1939, or 1940, would there have been Auschwitz? No. Because, one way or another, the Nazis & their Soviet accomplices would have been defeated. This is why the North Atlantic Treaty Organization was created. NATO is grounded into stopping fascism when it attacks the core, democracy, with all the forces democracies have at their disposal.

In the world wars of 1914-1918 and 1939-45, the aggressors were able to win for a while, and kill dozens of millions of civilians, because the USA stayed out of the conflict too long, instead of coming to the help of its parents and allies, the French and British democracies, right from the start. NATO corrects this historical failure, by making sure that, if France goes to war, say, the US will follow promptly (as happened several times since).   

Having a killer dictator like Putin in command of more than 6,200 nukes is insane.300 could annihilate the US. Anti-missile systems, with luck, can intercept only a few rockets. So Putin’s anxiety about ABM is just a cover-up, it’s fake. What he truly wants is subjugation of Europe, so his dictatorship can get wealthy that way.

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The preceding was published in the NYT.

A Trump Derangement Syndrome comment to the preceding was also published by the NYT, to diminish the impact of my own text, I presume. Here it is, followed by my reply: 

Mark, from San Francisco said:”I feel more secure with nukes under Putin than I did with nukes under Trump.”

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This failure to distinguish democracy and fascism is typical of the unbalanced.. 

Dmitri Kiselyov, one of Russian state television’s leading anchors, February 2022:

“Let’s remember that Russia doesn’t need a world without Russia,” Mr. Kiselyov, one leading state TV anchors, intoned at the beginning of his weekly prime-time show, paraphrasing a 2018 line by Putin. “And then not just America, but also Europe, will turn into radioactive ash.”Could not be any clearer. What we are facing here is nuclear war blackmail. And it will not stop in Ukraine.

 Putin obsessively mentioned the “humiliation” Russia suffered in Kosovo (Kosovo is close to Italy). Putin deplores that Poland turned Catholic, a few centuries ago. He would like to reverse all of this: Poland, the Balts, Ukraine are “borderlands” of Moscow, and Slavs, thus natural subjects of Moscow.

In Chechnya Putin killed nearly 15% of the population. Putin also invaded Georgia. Ukraine is a democracy which Putin attacked. Dictator Putin has been in power for 23 years, during which Ukraine had several Prime Ministers (including a woman) and six (6) presidents. One of these presidents was poisoned by Putin. Putin is a “killer”, said Biden. Putin’s main opponents were jailed or killed, one of them below Putin’s Kremlin.

 

Failing to distinguish democracy and a dictatorial kleptocratic regime is characteristic of those who laud fascism. The world wars and the holocausts they generated were made possible because all the democracies did not unite right away… And all too many people were blinded by petty political infighting within said democracies.

Patrice Ayme

 

 

NOT a thermonuclear explosion, but give Putin, or the mood of nuclear blackmail he generates, a chance and sure enough we will see this for real. What do to? Well research more and deploy anti-missile systems (rockets and, or directed energy beams…) February 2022… Golden Gate…

P/S: There was an exchange in the New York Times, which published some of the comment above, about the significance of quoting Dmitri Kiselyov. Basically the New York Times claimed that I was making the equivalent of quoting Sean Hannity and judging all the USA by it. I replied to that… And the new york Times censored, refused to published my answer… although it left the claim of comparing Dmitri Kiselyov to Sean Hannity! Here is the writing of mine which the NYT censored:

Hannity, or any other anchor in the US is not from a state TV, or a chief propagandist. Dmitry Konstantinovich Kiselyov, is a Soviet and Russian journalist, presenter, news executive and a propagandist. He is known as “Putin’s mouthpiece.” In 2013, he was appointed by Russian President Vladimir Putin to head the new official Russian government-owned international news agency Rossiya Segodnya,  Russia Today news agency. The BBC and others calls him Putin’s Spin Doctor. He has the unusual distinction, for a journalist, of being targeted by EU sanctions!

War Against Nazism Still Not Won, As Long As Nazi Ideas Rule Minds Regarding France In USA

A STRIKING EXAMPLE OF COGNITIVE DERANGEMENT DISORDER: FRANCE, FOUNDATION OF THE USA, Still Viewed As A Cause Of Nazism By (Secretly Sympathetic To) RACIST MASS HOMICIDAL, YET MAINSTREAM DOMINANT AMERICAN IDEOLOGY. Relationship with Iraq Invasion and Impeachment revealed!

The USA is a strange place where a Nazi ideology seed such as Keynes (head of UK delegation at Versailles in 1919) is lionized, by Jews (see Paul Krugman), and many basic Nazi these (some found in Keynes) are still viewed as Common Sense: in other words, VICTORY AGAINST NAZISM HAS NOT BEEN ACHIEVED… as long as the cognitive mechanisms (or, more precisely, lack thereof) which brought Nazism, many of them invented in the USA, have not been defeated.

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The Weaponization Of Philosophical and Technological Progress by France Made England And USA possible: 

In the Foundation series from US author Isaac Asimov, mathematician of psychohistory logician Seldon foresees the imminent fall of the Galactic Empire, which encompasses the entire Milky Way, and a dark age lasting 30,000 years before a second empire arises. France,  by creating Britain and the USA, according to mainstream French ideology, did quite a bit the same thing.

France, is a collective of thinking leaders over centuries. Arguably, France is a direct extension of the complex Gallo-Roman mentality, itself something that rose over more than a millennium, prior to Caesar’s partial conquest. 

Some French thinkers and men of action, who had a tremendous influence on the modern world, have sunk in the fog of history. Some are known, although not as revolutionary thinkers, which they were (the best example being William the Conqueror). Some are not known to this day (such Berengar, an Abbot protected by William the Conqueror, who promoted reason as God, and probably influenced many, while putting into words what the times were doing in France). The French, the Normans, pushed, overall a similar scheme of extreme progress, and this is when Europe rose above Rome in nearly all significant ways.

Even the decapitated one, Louis XVI, played a crucial role in the history of civilization, as he is the one who insured the success of US Independence: Louis XVI’s massive military intervention made it possible for the USA to exist. This is why the “Star Spangled Banner”, similarly to the Marseillaise, is all about a bloody war against tyrants, among explosions… Modern democracy as found in France, Britain, US, was created by very bloody war… Against bloody masters. 

France decided the outlawing of slavery (Queen Bathilde of the Franks, circa 655 CE). When the French army occupied Britain in 1066 CE, it weaponized the outlawing of slavery and other progressive democratizing measures to stay in power: thus England came to be (this entanglement of Britain and France goes on to this day, as France was pro-Brexit… At least in 2018; Macron admitted that Johnson had a “strategic plan”).  

Amusingly, the French always invoke the “Anglo-Saxons”… When actually England and the USA are mostly… French, not just in deepest institutions, but down to the language (English being poorly pronounced French, mostly). So the British and US Americans are distinguished as “Anglo-Saxons”, as there are Bretons, because such is their difference.

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If the US had joined the League of Nations, would WWII still have occurred?

Patrice Ayme, Decades of studying world history critically… among other things.

Let me change the question slightly into: If the US had respected its parent, France, and practiced other benevolent aspects of a naturally civilized nation, such as no racism, as its Gallo-Roman parent had tried to instill to the US, would WWII have occurred? Or, otherwise said: If The USA had acted decently after 1918, would the Nazis have disturbed the Peace?

The short of it: no.

World War Two happened, when it did, because the French Republic had more than enough with the Nazis. or, more generally, racist, militaristic, fascist, world-threatening Germany (the Germany which was destroyed in 1945).

Arras City hall, northern France, Destroyed By Invading German Fascists, 1914-1918

The French had been itching to go destroy Hitler since the latter invaded Spain in 1936 (with the help of the rogue general Franco, and fascist Italy). However, after agreeing to come to the rescue of the Spanish Republic, the French, led by PM Jewish Socialist Blum, were submitted to scathing threats from London and Washington, so they didn’t 9in 1929, before Nazism, Churchill threatened to bomb France, because France had made threatening noises about rearmament of Germany in violation of the Versailles Treaty, with the help of Portugal and the USSR; yes, that was 4 years before Nazism).

Then there was the 1938 Munich circus, followed by Hitler invading Czechoslovakia, Austria… The problem for France was lack of support by Britain (which however then decided to boost her air force through massive modernization).

After the fall of Spain (March 1939), the French stiffened the Polish spine, and added a chastised Great Britain in the appendix to the Franco-Polish treaty (“entente cordiale” would apply, so if france was at war with Germany, so would Britain be…)

Cornered, an enraged Hitler made Germany’s ultra secret alliance with fellow dictator Stalin official (it actually came all the way from 1916… before the Bolsheviks came to power).

Surely, now confronting the worldwide alliance of fascist Japan, Italy, Germany and the USSR, the French Republic won’t attack? But the French Republic was undeterred. At that point the Nazis were stuck. They couldn’t lose face: Hitler knew that the German generals had nearly staged a coup already.

What could have stopped the war? Those German generals: they had all the power… But many were themselves Nazis, so they were torn. Had the USA declared it sided with France, the generals would have known they were facing the infernal trio of France, Britain and their progeny, the USA, and, thus, Germany couldn’t win. So they would have had the excuse they wanted to stage a coup to save Germany, as they explained in 1937 to the (terrified) Anglo-Saxon ambassadors.

However the position of the USA in 1939 relative to Nazism was not clear: plutocrat FDR detested egalitarian, socialist France, and wanted to grab all her colonies to make them part of the US empire. Moreover US plutocrats were roaming all over Germany doing excellent business under Hitler, owning a large part of it: IBM had the monopoly of computing, for example, a gift of Hitler (ss “IBM and the Holocaust”). Finally, the US was a racist country, and much of Nazism was copied from US themes.

WWI Basilique Saint Quentin Northern France, Destroyed By Invading German Fascists, 1914-1918

The very idea of League of Nation was born in France (and then co-opted by hyper racist US president Wilson). So the entire “isolationist” posture, which didn’t apply to Nazi Germany (full of US plutocrats, US investments, US tech, etc.) was more directed against France… like the myth of the “crippling” reparations, launched by racist plutocrat Keynes, who was enraged that Eastern Europe had been freed from Germany by Versailles…

If the USA had been in the League, per se, would not have been enough, to prevent WW2. However, had the USA being just decent with its parent, France, the German generals would have seen their defeat was unavoidable, as the USA was siding with France.

And guess what, as I already said, but it’s worth repeating? The German generals asked, as early as 1937, the UK and US, to do just that, declare they would side with France. But the Anglo-Saxons didn’t. Instead, they told Hitler about the plot by the German generals… And FDR recalled his friend Dodd, US ambassador in Berlin, too friendly to his French peer, and too anti-Nazi. FDR replaced Dodd by a pro-Nazi, and did the same in Britain, installing Kennedy there… (More details in the book “The Garden of the Beasts”…)

Part of the city of Reims, 1918. Burned cathedral in the background. Destroyed by Invading German Fascists. 

The German generals were not smart enough to realize they were going to become victims of the greatest bait and switch imaginable… Although the same exactly had happened in WW1…

Nowadays, the Germans have finally figured it all out, deep inside… Just when at the same time, half of the Brits lost it completely… History is the ride that never ends…

The most amazing part of this subject is that many individuals who believe they know it well, actually repeat the basic Nazi themes… And, even more interesting, those themes often only partly originated in Germany (even the famous “stab in the back” theme the Nazis used had been uttered first by a British general who had lashed back sarcastically at war criminal general and principal original Nazi, Ludendorff…)

Oh, by the way, the fact the deep maneuvers of the US Deep State and its sponsor, US plutocracy, the billionaires and their descendants hidden in Foundations, Boards, Institutes, “Charities”, “Think Tanks”, plutocratic universities and the like, have not been exposed in full, doesn’t just explain the amazing (however ephemeral) success of the monstrosity known as Nazism. More fundamentally, it explains much of the rise of global plutocracy and its attendant inequality, poverty, drug abuse, decay in education, healthcare and many basic services observed since…

German racist fascism had to be destroyed. It was not destroyed in 1918–1919… so it tried again to win in 1933–1945. If the USA had been involved critically in teaching civilization to Germany, following the less racist principles of France, Nazism couldn’t have happened. When the French government went to Washington to ask to do something about Hitler, it lost, because “isolationism” was the pretext the USA used to keep on instrumentalizing (one should even say weaponizing) Germany. Fundamentally the USA was not in the League for the same reason why the fascists left it. Greed.

(From request by Thomas Fugate…)

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The following answer is interesting, because it was made by a US citizen in 2020, but one would have expected it by a Nazi in 1942. I quote it because this anti-wisdom, this Nazi wisdom, is still around, because nobody blocks it as the infamy it is::

Typical Northern French City. Germans refused to pay for this devastations and Neonazis whine to this day that the attempt to make Germany pay for part of the devastation it caused after invading Northern France… caused Nazism, and the killing of 20 million civilian, or more, plus six millions Jews. All the fault of the French who got the racist idea that Germans should repair part of what they had destroyed.

Let’s hear it from the typical Neonazi, by someone read thousands of times on the public space known as Quora. She was replying to my essay above:

Jane Weir

Please. The French had been looking to ruin Germany from 1919 onward. Their insistent demand for reparations from Germany (paid with loans from the US) was simply irresponsible. Their irredentism was as vital as any other factor for the rise of Hitler and German rearmament. At any time in the late 30s the French could have made a non-aggression pact with Germany, so that the 1940 invasion and occupation would have been completely avoided.

It’s ridiculous to think the French were “itching” to destroy Hitler because of German and Italian support for the Spanish Nationalists. The anti-Franco French tilt in 1936 was simply the policy of Leon Blum’s Popular Front government, and as you probably know it was ineffectual and short-lived, ending when Britain and France both agreed to remain neutral in the Spanish conflict.

France tried in 1939 to negotiate an alliance with the USSR, but this just encouraged Germany to outmaneuver them with their own non-aggression pact, neutralizing the Soviets and enabling Germany to swiftly conquer Poland and reincorporate the lands it had lost 20 years before. Even when France had the opportunity to invade Germany from the west in September 1939, they barely feinted over the borders, then withdrew and let their troops idle for six months. Whenever the French had a chance to make a blunder, they seized it with both hands.

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Nazism Springs Eternal If No One Contradicts It:

Fascist racist Germany attacked the French Republic (without war declaration) on August 2 1914 (reminiscent of September 1, 1940) . the German dictatorship pursued with war crimes (including killing toddlers), as early as August 1914 (the surprise attack against the world was itself a war crime). When the German army retreated in 1918, it eradicated, destroyed and annihilated north-east France (the industrial basket of France).

If France had treated Germany as Germany did France, France would have annihilated the Ruhr, dynamiting all factories and machines, flooding the minutes, cutting telephones and electricity poles… it’s actually the refusal of the Second Reich Germans (“Weimar”) which caused the French intervention if 1923.

In the red zones (“zone rouge”) the areas most devastated by the invading fascist German army, human life was impossible, the ground being toxic, lethal, full of non exploded explosives, neurotoxic chemicals, etc.

The mistake done in 1918 was not to invade Germany, judge hang the top German racist fascist war criminal there, including the Kaiser, Von Moltke, Ludendorff. That would have got rid of the inspiring core of the Nazi party.

The real causes of Nazism are found in Arminius (traitor to the Roman army, civilization), Luther (a hater of Jews), Herder (a tribal fanatic), Hegel (world-empire delirium, an admirer of the fascist dictator Napoleon). All had been said when Goering, father of Goering made an holocaust of Namibians.

I have been a great reader of the basic Nazi texts, and thus very familiar with the self-serving arguments you use: I know another 50 along the same lines. 

For example, you say: “[Germany .. pact [with] the Soviets and enable Germany to swiftly conquer Poland and reincorporate the lands it had lost 20 years before.” That’s cute, isn’t it? Many ignorant US citizens will agree with you, and thus will find yourself. However Poles will understand that you say Poland should not have been allowed to exist again, after generations of racist occupation, abuse and enslavement by Russia and Germany. Oh, you are in honorable company: Keynes sailed that racist boat, arguing in his miserable little book that Poles couldn’t manage an economy.

The Nazis proceeded to kill so many Poles that the population of Poland went from 35 millions in 1939 down to 24 millions in 1946.

In the end, in their dozens of thousands of extermination camps, the Nazis assassinated more than twenty million. To argue that this all happened because of the French is an argument the Nazis rolled out in 1945. There was never a question Britain would intervene when the fascists attacked the Republic in Spain. It’s British and US opposition which made the French decide not to intervene. Similarly in 1938, when France nearly went to war against Hitler allied to Czechoslovakia. In the end, France didn’t want more of a conflict with the US and UK. 

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Cognitive Derangement Syndrome Is Still Poorly Analyzed:

One should looking coldly at what happened to Germany in 1853-1945. Not just because the major traits of history have to be drawn. It’s not just a question of historical establishment of the truth. It is also a question of how come the cognition of supposedly civilized people, especially the Germans, the Nazis and the US public, could fail to this extent? The same forces are still at work, because they were never exposed, let alone condemned. 

The plutocratic effect was central to the German tragedy: Germans thought and felt, just as they had been programmed by their masters… including being imprinted to be ruled by evil (helped along by the ideology of Prussian Slave Master, Immanuel Kant… who is viewed to this day as a great philosopher, because he promoted bling obedience to… slave masters.) Kant is admired, to this day, in “humanities” departments, precisely because he is so inhuman. So are his infernal consorts, Herder, Hegel, Marx… All of them, and lesser German philosophical critters, and quite a few French, admirers of the concept of dictatorship… thus of Hitler, Stalin, and their ilk. Thus De Beauvoir and Sartre, after doing the Nazi thing in 1940-44, did the Castro-Che Guevara-Mao thing in the 1960s: same general idea, dictatorship is good. 

The Nazi De Beauvoir should have at least been condemned to be shot… Instead, now she is the object of a cult. Now a cult for Nietzsche is to be commended. Nietzsche hated the German drift into galloping racism and invasive militarism  he himself observed, and stridently condemned… As Einstein did (all too much) later. Nietzsche was good, because he resisted infamy, De Beauvoir was bad, because she promoted the idea that one should collaborate with infamy.

All those who, to this day, regret, as Jane Weir above, or Keynes and his admirers (Krugman) that Eastern Europe, including Poland and Czechoslovakia, was freed from German racist subjugation and exploitation are either plain Nazis, or then are still deeply affected by the Cognitive Derangement Syndrome which is behind the most infamous ideologies of history.

Some of this Cognitive Derangement Syndrome is fully in evidence in the USA today. Using gross maneuvers to manipulate public opinion, some of the principal enablers of the Iraq War are trying to make it so as to have their own establishment, long in power, gain the US presidency. How? Well, while US citizens whine about Martin Luther King, they forget to ask themselves what MLK would have thought about the invasion of Iraq, how he would acted against it… And who exactly enabled that atrocity. They are in your face everyday, just look.

President Obama recently, in an excellent pantomime, explained, in a few seconds that the Cognitive Derangement Syndrome emanated from a lack of attention span, and a disconnect between the gravity of what one did. What Obama said was that scapegoating should be serious business. Instead those young punks are just interested in changing channels, because they are fundamentally bored… and boring.

Relation with the preceding essay on why the Versailles Treaty, albeit good, was not so good as to destroy the racist, fascist ideology which affected Germany? Let me explain.

Scapegoating the French Republic for causing what she fought, racist fascism, is dishonest and correspond simply to people who know, deep down inside, that the US profited from Nazism, so they are anxious to accuse others to have caused it. When the truth is that, if the USA had lined itself up with France in 1939 (as the UK did), World War Two and its atrocities would have petered out.

Patrice Ayme

Warning: War Can Be Very Surprising. The Case of the Battle Of France, May-June 1940

This is my answer to the following question: “Why didn’t Britain and France throw their full force at the western German pincer instead of evacuating at Dunkirk?”

At first sight, on paper, the French army had plenty enough power to cut the Von Manstein/Guderian “Sickle Cut” (an expression invented later by Churchill, apparently), just after it happened. It was tried and nearly worked (from the north, and from the south).

However, the nine French armored division north of the Sickle Cut couldn’t move (their supply lines were cut, inter alia). Actually they couldn’t move enough: they attempted to move from the north, but a British failure prevented them to go all the way. Immediately north of the Cut the formidable Third Heavy Armored French division had its fuel cut off.

French Tank B Which Held the fortress at Dunkirk. Nazi picture

One of the reasons the Nazis succeeded to pierce at Sedan is that only one, just one, French Reserve infantry B division faced four elite Nazi formations, including three Panzer Divisions and the superlative Gross Deutschland regiment. Plus the entire Luftwaffe. Weirdly (Guderian marvelled), long range guns from the Maginot line south didn’t engage. Worse: the Second Armored British division was supposed to be there, behind the French B division, but was not. Overall strategy assumed it was there… but it was not. Had it been there, with its superior Mathilda tanks, the Sickle Cut would not have happened.

The other reason, of course was surprise, Pearl Harbor style. A high German officer with the earlier German attack plan was in a plane that landed in Belgium (which was secret and implicit ally to France and Britain, but not officially so). He tried to burn the plan. The captured documents confirmed the correctness of the French strategy. However, the Nazi High Command, supposing (correctly) that the plans had been captured, was then forced into preparing a completely different plan, which was highly unlikely.

The Belgians had evacuated the Ardennes to the point they barely opposed any resistance, so little resistance that the extent of the enormous size of the Nazi attack through the Ardennes went undetected for several days. The French had assumed the Belgians could and would, have told them, had an enormous thrust happen through the Ardennes. The Belgians didn’t. “Neutral” small powers such as Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden and Switzerland, were crucially helpful to the Nazis in various ways: the Belgian and Luxembourgian incapacity to detect two-third of the German army passing through their territory or their unwillingness to warn the French High Command of the presence of millions of Germans, and dozens of thousands of vehicles in southern Belgium, was a necessary condition for the Nazi victory of May-June 1940.

At Sedan in 1940, ONE French B Reserve Division got attacked by the Second, First and Tenth Panzer (left to right), plus other elite formations and the entire Luftwaffe… An enormous, nearly unbelievable concentration of force. The Nazis were fighting with the energy of despair, because they felt that, barring a miracle, they had already lost the war. In contrast, the French and British fought with the over-confidence of those who are sure to win: they didn’t bother looking fot the worst possible case.

When Commander in Chief Maurice Gamelin decided to send general Henri Girauld’s mobile reserve of seven armored divisions (7th army) to the Netherlands, north of Nazi general Bock’s army groups pushing through Belgium (!), Gamelin’s adjoint, and second in command of the French army, general Alphonse Georges, vigorously protested as he pointed out to Gamelin that this exposed the entire French defense system to exactly what happened: a Sickle Cut out of Sedan. Maybe Gamelin thought there would be time to react, he was not just an arrogant idiot full of himself. Nobody thought an entire army, let alone a motorized one, could sneak through the Ardennes. As the entire Nazi army went undetected (except by one Spitfire pilot, who was not believed), for many days, the surprise was total, and it was not all Gamelin’s fault.

Next, the Nazis, full of amphetamines, didn’t sleep for ten days or so. surprising Gamelin with what he called “torrents of tanks, which had to be stopped”.

At some point heavy French tanks, in the night, arrived well within shooting distance of the top Nazi generals (including Guderian, who was heading the entire armored thrust, on the battlefield)… but they didn’t detect them.

Had the French kept the mobile reserve in reserve, by the Maginot line, the “Sickle Cut would have turned into a crushing defeat for the Nazis and probably a coup against Hitler…

Nazi Panzer Korps invading France, 1940

But just one man, general Gamelin, took all the foolhardy decisions… And one man can be very wrong. As soon as Nazi engineers made successful kamikaze charges, exploding themselves against French fortifications at Sedan, the Battle of France was lost, because of the disposition of the French (and British) armored formations.

The ceasefire occurred at the end of June because France had little taste for waging war further against Japan, Germany, Italy, the USSR and, implicitly, the USA. (The gigantic losses of World War One, when France fought Germany basically alone for a year, were fresh in memory).

Roosevelt was first to recognize the Vichy Coup and sent his right hand man, four star admiral Leahy as ambassador. In Roosevelt’s view, dismantling the French empire and making (say) New Caledonia into a new Hawai’i, was Hitler’s main function… The rest was details. 

Conscious that the White House and the US Deep State had instrumentalized Hitler,to wrestle their empires from the Europeans, the US press stayed mum about the Holocaust of Poles and Jews which the Nazis had started, in 1939… for all to see. Shocking truth, but truth nevertheless. A (still) uncomprehending New York Times (they should read me more!) now bemoans that fact: that they knew, and didn’t tell.

If it had been told to the American people that an holocaust was ongoing, and the president was willing (he was not, as he only obsessed about new Caledonia), the US would have engaged in the war early in 1940, and the war would have turned against the Nazis right away… Also France would have kept fighting. France ceased fire at the end of June 1940, mostly because the US refused to open fire… France refused to play the little US game leveraging Hitler, any longer, now that it was so clear. (That decision may have been subconscious, but it’s what happened, because, in retrospect, it was the most obvious reason on which to act…) 

Had France persisted to fight into July 1940, it could have held North Africa indefinitely… As it turned out, French Africa was back in the war, two years later. The French victory at Bir Hakeim, a modern Thermopylae on a grander scale May-June 1942) , crucially saved the British Eighth Army from annihilation, said Churchill, and evidence shows. Had the Eighth been annihilated, all the Jews in Israel, and all the oil in Iraq, would have been in Nazi hands…

A Nazi victory in 1940 was extremely unlikely, hence the overconfidence of the French and British High Command, and thus, paradoxically, their inattention to detail, or low probability, but extremely dangerous events… And overlooked the despair of the Nazi High Command, which led it to desperate, risky innovation. Thus the fact it was so unlikely for all to see, made it more probable, in the end.

The Sickle Cut through the Ardennes should have failed… And would have, had the British Second Armor Division been there, or the French Reserve been in reserve, or had simply the 200 kilometers of jammed Nazi troops and armor on three little roads been detected.

The one advantage the Nazis had on the French and British is that they had waged war for more than three years in Spain. So crucial little details worked perfectly on the Nazi side in 1940, like radios in tanks and ground to planes communications. Although the French and British and the Foreign Legion had just beaten elite Nazi units in Norway, that was not involving armored thrusts… The French and British learned, in a week, but by then the battle of France was lost. It was the most crucial battle of WW2, as it made the Nazi occupation of Europe possible: roughly 200,000 killed, including 50,000 elite Nazis, never to be seen again, 4,000 planes destroyed, half of them Nazis (and sorely missed during the air Battle of Britain, a few weeks later…[1]

In a drawn out war, the Franco-British naval blockade would have made Nazi Germany even more dependent upon Stalin than it already was…

Fighting a war is rolling the dice. The most unlikely events can occur. They did, in May 1940, when God was Nazi… And Roosevelt smiling. The USA just had to bark in 1940, to stop the Nazi charade, but didn’t. While the Canadians courageously landed in Brittany to stop the Nazi tide, the US, propagandized, dominated and perfused by base plutocrats, refused to help France, its parent…

The defeat of France in 1940 was nearly as surprising as if Russia and China pulled off a successful surprise attack on the USA, right now. Yes, French hubris played a role, as did Nazi despair. One may want to keep this in mind…

Not to repeat history the same way, one should learn it, right. But be careful what you learn. The most significant history is not the history of art, or pretty princesses. The most significant history is that of military history, and holocausts. It’s surprising how much it repeats itself helped by astounding twists and turns in what initially looked like details.

Patrice Ayme

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[1] Far from being a walk in the park, the Battle of France cost the Luftwaffe 36 percent of its front line strength, some 1,236–1,428 aircraft were destroyed. A further 323–488 were damaged. Luftwaffe casualties amounted to 6,653 men, including 4,417 aircrew (1,129 were killed and 1,930 were reported missing). No wonder the Luftwaffe lost next the (aerial) Battle of Britain, over Britain…

85,000 French soldiers died in combat (in 6 weeks; considering the size of the populations concerned, that would be as if 700,000 US soldiers died in combat in 6 weeks, nowadays). 3,000 Senegalese Tirailleurs were murdered after being taken prisoner (as the racial Nazis viewed them as dangerous half apes)… Britain had fewer than 10,000 killed in action (extending the atrocities visited even on some French officers, not just French troops, the Nazis cold blooded assassinated dozens of British prisoners who had surrendered)