Archive for the ‘Climate Catastrophe’ Category

Climate Catastrophe, February 2018

February 14, 2018

A climate catastrophe is enfolding out there. Potentially the biggest in 65 million years, or more. This being civilization, chances are that, as the catastrophe unfolds, our rotten leaders, or one of them at least, and it could be just the plump Kim or his Swiss educated, stern, haughty, smirking, black dressed, even younger sister, decides to distract us all, with a nice thermonuclear showdown.

(For rotten contemplate, Israeli PM Netanyahu, which Israeli police wants arrested, or South Africa’s Jacob Zuma: both are the rule, among the world’s great leaders. What makes them exceptional is that institutions, in Israel or South Africa, are after them. In most places, institutions are already too rotten themselves, to do this… Every two weeks, Obama went to visit his multibillionaire masters in the Silicon Valley tech monopolies; I know Californians who were in love with the sounds of his helicopter armada, every two weeks, as he came to receive the latest payments. And they still are in love. Never mind that this killed democracy and innovation…)

To document these titanic climate happenings while they occur, I will regularly post a “Climate Catastrophe” series, from brand new “moulins” in the supposedly indestructible East Antarctic ice shield (now melting, to the specialists’ unfathomable surprise) to Black Beetle devouring high altitude and high latitude trees…

Capetown is supposed to run out of water in April: an exceptional drought festers. It will the first large (4 million) urban area to run out of water. And NOT the last: one expects the dry belts to move up towards the poles. North of southern South Africa, there is Namibia, and it’s very dry…

The climate is getting disorganized, worldwide, as expected. In California, the drought is not just back, it never left (last year it flooded in California, right. However, flooding in some desert areas is chronic). Snow levels are now the lowest. Ever. The Sierra forest, 10,000 years old, is dying. The situation in California is hyper catastrophic, but nobody is talking. Officially the drought is over… but has never been worse!

Mount Cook, New Zealand. It is hard to believe, but we are on track to have all this ice disappear. That aesthetic blow will accompany an unconceived biological disaster, planet wide, which will disrupt all of civilization, in all ways. Mt Cook lost 50 meters in altitude, in a recent quake…

And our politicians, our self-declared leaders, are doing… nothing. Nothing much, besides moving their mouth parts. It’s not just Trump. Trump is a red herring, a scarecrow people brandish to excuse themselves from thinking, and absolve themselves, by calling him the cause of everything. In reality, the US Federal tax on gasoline is unchanged since 1993, and that has nothing to do with Trump. Obama could have brought the tax up, when he had a supermajority. But he was too busy getting guidance from big money. (Most plutocrats are gas-guzzlers, watch their private jets, or then think, like Trump, that, the more energy, the better…)

The indifference to massive taxes on fossil fuels in the USA has everything to do with the US population feeling little need to do something serious about the climate catastrophe, because it sees no catastrophe looming. Among young people (the ones with the rage to protest) the mental cancer of the so-called “social networks”, with their “likes”, “bots”, millions of “friends”, “trendings”, and veracity from (engineered) popularity or “links” have become the reference for thinking. That thought is organized by plutocrats, for plutocrats.

In England a so-called “judge” (an excellent phrase and concept of Trump, by the way) decided to keep Wikileaks’ Julian Assange under embassy arrest. He has been there for more than 5 years. The corrupt so-called “judge”, in a grandiloquent opinion, declared that Assange seemed to view himself above the law (Assange had good reason to fear deportation to the USA). Originally, Assange had been charged for raping a CIA agent (!) Sounds unbelievable, but I didn’t make it up. To celebrate that, she organized a party for him, two days later, complete with glowing tweets. But then the masters in Washington called, and everybody knew that Obama and his goons would do anything to arrest Assange (Clinton just called him a traitor and a Russian agent; Assange is not US, and Main Stream Media have authenticated many of his stories; Washington was furious, because Wikileaks revealed war crimes by the USA which were left unprosecuted… although those denounced the cover-up, were prosecuted with great ferocity).

Even worse, not content with uncovering US war crimes, Assange endangered cash cows of the so-called “democratic” party, and its pretend-opponents, such as Google.

The “rape” charges against Ms CIA agent were dropped by Sweden in May 2017. But the charge that Assange brutalized Washington and its agents (Google, etc.) is alive and well. Average US citizen don’t give a hoot: all too many are aware that one is best unaware that the USA has been doing so well from plundering, not just the nature of the biosphere, and nature itself, but also human nature.

All signals are red: global sea ice (both poles combined) is at the lowest ever, by a significant margin, sea level rise is accelerating, forests are dying, so are parts of the ocean. Plutocrats have been buying property in New Zealand, just in case. However, to give a slightly different perspective, from Ian Miller blog (Ian is a senior physical chemist):

Summer Storms, February 7, 2018:

New Zealand has just had some more bad weather. Not an outstanding statement, but it does add a little more to the sort of effects that climate change is bringing to us. We have had quite a warm summer. Certainly not as hot as Australia, but where I live we have had many days hotter than what before were outstandingly hot days. On many days, we had temperatures about ten degrees Centigrade above the January average. Apart from one day of rain shortly after Christmas, we had almost no rain from October and the country was in a severe drought. You may say, well, a lot of countries have months without rain – so what? The so what is that October and November are usually the rather wet months here.

Then a week ago we got a storm. It was supposed to be “a depression that was the remains of a tropical cyclone” but with wind speeds of 86 knots reported, by my count that is still a tropical cyclone, except it is no longer in the tropics. (It just limps in to a category 2 hurricane.) Why did it not die down? Probably because the surface waters of the Tasman are at record high temperatures, and seven degrees Centigrade above average in places, and warm sea waters feed these systems with extra energy and water.

Where I am, we were lucky because the system more or less passed us by. The highest wind speed here was 76 knots, but that is still more than a breeze. We also missed most of the rain. Yes, we did get rain, but nowhere near as much as South Westland, where 0.4 meters of rain falling in a day was not uncommon.

The rain did some good. A couple of scrub fires broke out in Otago, and it looked like they would be extremely difficult to contain, thanks to the drought. The best the fire service could do would be like spitting at it compared with what the cyclone brought to bear.

However, the main effect was to be a great inconvenience, especially to Westland. Westland is largely a very thin strip of flat land, or no flat land, running through very tortuous mountain country. If you have nothing better to do, go to Google Earth and zoom in on the town of Granity (41o37’47″S; 171o51’13″E). What you will see is the hill, which goes up very steeply to over 300 meters before rising more “gently to the town of Millerton at about 700 meters. Between the road and the sea is one layer of houses, and the storm was washing up into their back doors.

The hills and mountains are very young, which means they have very little erosion, whole a lot of the rock is relatively soft sedimentary rock. There are some granitic extrusions, and these merely provide another reason for the rest to be even more tortuous. The whole area is also torn apart, and constructed, from continuing earthquakes. Finally, there is fairly heavy subtropical rain forest, parts getting over ten meters of rain a year. The area is quite spectacular, and popular with tourists, and it is very well worthwhile driving through it. Once you could see glaciers flowing through rain forest; now, unfortunately, the glaciers have retreated thanks to global warming and they only flow down mountainsides but they are still worth seeing.

The net result of all this is that when this cyclone struck, the only road going north-south and was west of the mountains got closed thanks to slips (one was a hundred meters wide of fallen rock from a hill) and trees knocked over by the wind. Being stuck there would be an experience, especially since the place is basically unpopulated. If you want to see the wild, you tend to be short of facilities. Some were quite upset about this, but my question to them was, this cyclone was predicted for about three days in advance. If you really could not put up with it, why go there? One grump was recorded as saying, “This sort of thing would not happen in . . . ” (I left out the country – this person did not define them.) Well, no, it would not. They don’t get tropical cyclones, hurricanes typhoons, or whatever you want to call them, and they don’t have this difficult terrain. One way or another, we have to put up with weather.

However, the real point of this is to note there is still glacial progress being made to do anything sensible to hold global warming. There is a lot of talk, but most of it is of the sort, “We have to do . . . by the next fifty years.” No, we have to start a more determined effort now.

***

Another force 4 hurricane just struck Tonga and is now heading towards New Zealand. Yes, extra-tropical tropical cyclones were predicted, as a consequence of global warming, and have become facts (one hit Portugal last Fall; its enormous winds fed hundreds of fire storms before the rains hit). See the following essay, from 2008, to understand why the rise of temperature is just part of the problem:

Applying Equipartition Of Energy To Climate Change PREDICTS WILD WEATHER

“We” have to start a more determined effort? I agree. We are running out of time. As I said, raising fossil fuel taxes should be done immediately. And it’s not enough. And who is “we”? There is no “we” here! Our masters like it as it is, complete with a feeling of doom and gloom, alleviated by industrial escapism… The French president just declared that “counter-power” should not rise to the power of putting our great leadership, that great power, in difficulty, worldwide (or words to that effect). All our present leadership, worldwide, have not realized they are a new feudalism.

To get out of the hellish spiral we are in, a massive, total war effort in research and development should be engaged. Especially with thermonuclear fusion. However, the exact opposite has happened: the effort on ITER, the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor, has been slowed down by ten (10) years… to save money (or, more exactly, how much it cost per year). Yet, at this point, it’s highly likely to work (especially in reactors larger than ITER)… modulo specific progress on an arsenal of attainable technologies. Thermonuclear fusion would replace ALL fossil fuels…

And the alternative is world war and one more return to the traditional fare of cannibalism (forget vegetarianism, when land is at a premium!)

You have been warned. It may be time to reconsider how people in general, and in particular the intellectuals, or experts, advising the great leaders, think! Hint: they are more biased than they think, and the more official the thinker, the more biased!

Patrice Aymé

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The Plutocratic Chain Reaction, Civilization Killer, Biosphere Terminator, Neurobiological Disaster

January 19, 2018

Plutocracy is the most important disease of economics, sociology, civilization. Even worse: it interferes with neurobiology as a pathogene! It’s not intrinsic to humanity, but intrinsic to the combination of humanity’s intrinsic Dark Side, with civilization itself.

Our world is dying from plutocracy (although the patient is still talking and walking around, it is devoured from inside, its mind has become cancerous; look at the forests, not just the oceans, which are dying). Even without considering the potential of nuclear war…

Around 26 centuries ago, Pluto became the new name for Hades, God of the underworld, the world where the dead roamed. It was a Public Relation operation: the reputation of Hades was so terrible, nobody wanted to utter his name anymore. So a new name surfaced for Hades: Pluto. Pluto was then the god of hell, riches (precious minerals and stones are underground). Pluto could make itself invisible (thus the notion of lying, dissemblances and conspiracy are intrinsic to Pluto). After Hades promotion to the more general notion of Pluto, the latter meaning merged further with “daemon”, diablo, devil (from the Greek diaballein, to throw across), and, of course, Satan (from the Hebrew root “stn“, an adversary, often sent by God to bother humans, a meaning rather conserved in the Qur’an, intriguingly, yet coherently enough). PLUTOCRACY ARISES FROM SIMPLE MATHEMATICS:

Plutocracy is fundamentally just the fruit of a mathematical theorem: the quotient of two exponentials is itself an exponential. That’s how I explained (most of) the attenuation of Neanderthal genetic alleles, and also mass extinctions such as the disappearance of dinosaurs and their ilk. Indeed, the fastest growing wealth, or power (in the Pluto case) will overwhelm any other. So the apparition of monopolies of power is simple math.

Yes, the mathematics, and the root causes are the same as for the disappearance of Neanderthals, dinosaurs, etc:

https://patriceayme.wordpress.com/2013/03/14/why-did-neanderthals-disappear/

But this time, the disappearance at hand is that of humanity and the entire biosphere!

Plutocracy didn’t invent the Dark Side of humanity. Right. However, it leverages it, using civilization itself. (This argument is used in Star Wars, implicitly: the immense power of the Jedis furthers leverages the Dark Side; this is what Luke Skywalker discovered to his dismay, in his older years! That’s the main theme of the 2017 movies, “The Last Jedi“). That doesn’t mean we have to throw civilization through the window (as various fascist systems proposed in the Twentieth Century; and many political and religious movements, including Chrsitianism, had effected prior: consider Saint Augustine’s tale of “Two Cities”, where the one on Earth, Rome, the Roman empire, had to cease to be, so the one is Heavens could rise…)

Modern sophisticates with a perverse, underhanded and conspiratorial agenda reduced the meaning of “Pluto” to “riches”. Thus, according to these hypocrites, according to those under-criticizing critters, “plutocracy” is just, solamente, the rule of wealth. However, this is in contradiction with multi-millennial wisdom. Old wisdom equated wealth and the commission of the worst sins. Time for civilization to re-read the classics!

The reduced interpretation of “plutocracy”, as just the rule of wealth is so primitive, unsophisticated and reductive that it misses a wisdom which is at the root of Bible. The Old Testament condemns those who gave themselves to the cult of the “Golden Calf”. The New Testament makes things even clearer by saying the rich man has as much chance to finish in heavens as a camel has to go through the eye of a needle. The Qur’an, while not as extreme on that point (how could it, with those wealthy Arabs owning all these slave girls?), mandates to give to charity (otherwise one is no Muslim).

Thus the rule of wealth is NOT the rule of what “Pluto” is, in full. It is just a small portion of it, the most visible, less significant part. It’s like the magnificent coat of a super venomous snake; what counts is the venom, not the shiny iridescent scales. In full Pluto is not just about riches, but also about hell, death, invisibility (thus fake news, lies and dissemblance). Plutocracy itself, Pluto + Kratos, is power (kratos), the power of Hell (Pluto).

Plutocracy is the rule of the few: few are wealthy enough, or evil enough to exert the rule of hell.

The exponential function tends to make civilizations unstable: the more power, or, what boils down to the same, wealth, a few individuals have, the more they tend to have.

Civilization is all about power: it provides enormous power to the collective, redistributes some to the individuals composing it.

Civilization provides the power to exponentiate small differences of status and riches into enormous differences. The end result is that some individuals have all the power, and others, the rest of humanity, nothing.

Now this is fundamentally inhuman. It is even worse than that. It is neurobiologically impossible. Human beings evolved to have (shared) power with other humans around them. A full human environment is an environment which empowers us.

Human brains can’t develop in full, let alone function in full otherwise. Thus the problem of having all the power only for a few is not just a moral problem, but a neurobiological one.

Indeed by making the environment serves them best, & them alone, satanically depriving others, to satisfy that glee on which they greedily suck, the hyper wealthy, the plutocrats, remove much of the environment that the rest of humanity needs to fully develop their brains, thus damaging the overall brainpower humanity can bring to bear. 

In the end, humanity’s decision making involves then only a few brains. The result is here for all to contemplate: even the Trump administration said that the rise of global temperature by 2100 could be as much as 4.8 degree Celsius. For comparison the coldest it got in the last three million years, the global temperature was only 3 degree Celsius lower than now (that was 20,000 years ago). The warmest it got was no more than more than roughly a degree Celsius higher than now (and sea level was nine meters higher; during the Eemian, 125,000 years ago).

In other words, Trump himself says we are on track for an unimaginable disaster, in the matter of climate (so why is he screaming about the Paris Accord? Trump really doesn’t want the USA to pay for the $120 billion fund to finance developing countries). It’s not Trump’s original sin, but the fault of the FASCIST principle which says only a few individuals or organizations, can, and are, habilitated to decide for all of humanity: that’s what really ruins us. The climate catastrophe was fully in evidence in 1990. But then plutocrats mobilized all the political activities so that they would serve themselves (examples: The capture of world governments by Murdoch, Goldman Sachs and its ilk, the abrogation under Clinton of the FDR laws against financial plutocracy, namely the Banking Act of 1933, Brexit, Obamacare, tax havens all over, etc.). Plutocrats are obsessed by themselves, that’s how they got where they are, and will use whatever to stay there. In their metaphysics heavens is hell, and hell, heavens.

And yet, fundamentally, plutocracy is all just mathematics gone metastatic, in civilizations which can’t compute.  

Patrice Aymé