Posts Tagged ‘Experts’

Exponentiating The Climate; Or When “Experts” Exponentiate Themselves.

December 12, 2020

“Experts” in infectious diseases, at least those at the top of the hierarchy, including the world health Organization and the much admired Dr. Fauci, have proven disastrously wrong in the orders they advised governments to give to fight the COVID pandemic... Could it be that expertise is itself infected?

Experts did well in many other countries, from China to New Zealand, so we can compare. In the most “advanced” and largest “representative democracies” of the “West”, “experts” seem to make a habit of giving “advice” which makes bad situations, worse… Examples abound, I will sketch a few here. Probably because, those countries being wealthier and not under Communist Party rule, the corruption therein is much greater. Please watch Fauci taking himself for Don Corleone of the Godfather, or on Kim Kardashian’s show, to understand better what I mean.

An excellent example of thorough corruption driven by “experts” is Western Finance since the Clinton administration’s repeal of President Roosevelt’s work, accomplished in 1933. That brought the 2008 financial crisis, where the “experts” once again, gave the advice which augmented the inequalities, not to say the inequities…

Another subject where “experts” proved incompetent was the climate. For decades, “experts” pontificated that it would take 5,000 years for Antarctica to seriously melt. So no serious worries were to be had. Yes, a few glaciers could melt. But Antarctica? No! Their erroneously optimistic opinions were thoroughly idiotic, ignored basic physics and the notion of exponential, and supported only by their desire to please their masters.

It was obvious all along to really free and superior minds, that Antarctica was at risk of melting from below, cataclysmically... Because the densest oceanic water is not the coldest.

The maximum risk with the climate is not drowning, which can be survived by swimming to higher ground, but actually, lacking oxygen, hypoxia: experts have argued with me, and, latter the French president, to claim atmospheric oxygen was NOT at risk. Those “experts” in denial tweaked what was known in the most satisfying way, to please their employers (big fossil fuel guzzling governments, typically).

In truth, it is, at least in the worst scenarios one should imagine, and they do not require much imagination: all forests burn, all plankton gets acidified to death from carbonic acid and burned form high temperatures, and then the permafrost melt and oxidizes …devouring atmospheric oxygen (yes we can, I did the computations; “experts” can try to repeat them). But enough with my fertile imagination. Another fact is not pointed out enough: clearly GLOBAL HEATING is EXPONENTIATING. Just look at the graph of temperatures. To help, I traced the exponential by hand, in red:

E X P O N E N T I A L: Clearly the world temperature is following an exponential. Thus presumably, the entire planetary climate… And the “experts” are at fault.

A (growing) exponential has the shape it does because its rate of growth is proportional to its size. In other words, an exponential depicts a phenomenon where the rate of increase of the size of the phenomenon is proportional to the size of this phenomenon. In other words, the bigger the problem, the faster it grows, because the problem itself contributes to its rate of augmentation. The multiplication of bacterial or viral infections are the archetypical example of this… Or that of any uncontrolled population, such as that of Niger (which went in one generation from 4 million under the French administration, in 1960 to 24 million today…)

On December 3, 2020, the Secretary-General of the United Nations, Gutierrez, called the state of our planet “broken”. Exponentiating the climate into hell is part of the problem. An even larger problem is that expertise, in the most important countries, has been captured enough by those with exaggerated power to break civilization itself….

And the remedies are not close at hand. Remedies will go through superior knowledge. However, plutocracy, worldwide dominates truth. The media, worldwide, is owned by plutocrats, the evil-rulers… who have a vested interest of making the planet ever more homely for themselves, that is, ever more like hell.

So what to do? That’s the question pragmatic ones always want to be answered, when one points at the root of the problem, namely a planet led secretly by corrupt “experts” on plutocratic payroll… Press for enormously accelerated research in green hydrogen and fusion hydrogen. (“Green hydrogen” covers hydrogen and derivatives such as ammonia, which can be used for storage of renewable energy; it’s mostly a question of deployment). Also boycott countries such as Australia, the world number one coal exporter. Australia should be the object of UN sanctions, like Rhodesia or South Africa were in the past, and for similar reasons: crime against humanity. Australia is treating all of us, humanity, as an inferior race, not to say species. Some will point the finger at Trump and his rhetoric, but, de facto, the USA’s outrageous CO2 production (more than thrice France, per person) is more hedonistic than greedy, and coal has gone down in the US even under Trump: India and China are the ones fostering coal as much as they can, and they get much in Australia, and plan to get even more. North Americans like big mansions and big lives, while Australia, and also Canada sell as much of their souls, and their fossil fuels, as they can find… Although they live comfortably enough already (much better than India and China!)

Fundamentally, though, the notion of democracy has to be elevated to higher standards (well beyond what “experts” in politics will suggest). So that “expertise” can be re-evaluated. And that means more well informed debate with all involved (thus more direct democracy, isegoria, parrhesia, etc.). This starts with realizing the usual punditry and “factchecking” is itself serving who pay their bills, and mortgages for those big mansions from which they can zoom down on us. The fact is, just as with COVID, there are some countries doing much better than others on the question of CO2 emissions, and this has a lot to do with their experts finding a completely different version of reality, alternative facts, and alternative solutions… We will see what Biden’s “experts” will propose. Solutions go through new technologies… or then regulations enforcing the implementation of new technologies, or technologies which should have been deployed (such as renewable and biodegradable plastics). Right, new technologies do not necessarily work: geothermal energy deployed industrially in northern Alsace has brought earthquakes so numerous and damaging that many houses are now cracked, and the technology had to be stopped on an emergency basis, lest all of Alsace be levelled… And everybody knows that some of the nuclear fission technologies previously deployed have created very inconvenient radiation problem: that can be fixed with new nuclear technologies; the previous ones were deployed precisely because they polluted… the main pollution being Pluto-nium. Plutonium can be weaponized, and that’s why it was loved. We need to have experts focus on something less hellish.

Ultimately, real top notch expertise has to be symbolized by simple, autonomous ideas.

The fact that the world temperature is now exponentiating means that the temperature augmentation is self-feeding. This is an important new fact. It should have its own neural network. Amen.

Patrice Ayme

***

Notre Dame Burning, Symbol Of A Degenerating Civilization, Where Expertise Has Collapsed

April 15, 2019

Completely incompetent leaders, and only them, decide what our world is. They take their little decisions in secret, among experts, unchallenged by the common sense of debate. They jet set around the planet and splurge.

Notre Dame catches fire. Where are the helicopters dumping water? Can’t have them say the experts, cathedral too fragile: a fire hotter than lava is more of a problem. Obviously an idiotic opinion (whereas planes have killed with the tons of water they suddenly dump, helicopters can be as gentle as needed: the water comes from a pail, and the pail could have filled up 100 meters away in the Seine).

The burning of Notre Dame tells us that the world’s “experts” are not what they claim to be. They are experts of routine, self-glorification, career building. Think about it: a roof with timber older than a millennium has burned. The “charpente” of Notre Dame was made of 1,300 oaks, each more than 1,000 years old. It was called “the forest”. Middle Ages engineers and firefighters took care of the cathedral, and its roof, for centuries, but their Twenty-First century alter-egos couldn’t.

Our civilization could go up in smoke even faster than that

Notre-Dame resisted 856 years, the Middle Ages, eight religious wars, the French Revolution, the Cossacks, the Franco-Prussian war, the Commune, WWI and the Kaiser’s shells, Hitler, V2s. But not Twenty-First Century arrogant incompetence! A warning for all!

***

Reactions on the spot:

Fire is out of control in the North Tower of Notre Dame (“Beffroy Nord”). Nobody told me this, I saw the flames on TV. The incompetence of “experts” is astronomical. The entire cathedral may well collapse.

Water dropping helicopters should have been used. No ifs and buts. Even Trump in his White House figured that one out right away. Trump was first to react, within half an hour:  

Donald J. Trump

Verified account

So horrible to watch the massive fire at Notre Dame Cathedral in Paris. Perhaps flying water tankers could be used to put it out. Must act quickly!

“Experts” begged to differ, and replied to Trump:

Sécurité Civile Fr‏  Hundreds of firemen of the Paris Fire Brigade are doing everything they can to bring the terrible #NotreDame fire under control. All means are being used, except for water-bombing aircrafts which, if used, could lead to the collapse of the entire structure of the cathedral.

My personal answer: That’s hogwash, you are incompetent. Helicopter dropping water from the Seine would have made a huge difference, OBVIOUSLY. You were NOT ready for the worst possible case. There is a principle for all of humanity rising with these flames: one has to be ready for the worst.

Looking at the fire progressing on the roof, it is completely obvious that water dropping copters would have mitigated the fire. It may even have helped collapsing part of the metallic cover below which the flames crawled…  

Fleche collapsing

Of course, a sprinkler system would have stopped the fire right away. What do the French authorities say to this? We don’t do sprinklers in France, or something to this effect.

What has happened since Notre Dame was built, 856 years ago? Not much of planetary significance for centuries, until around 1850 CE, when the CO2 built-up stopped the Little Ice Age.

Now the entire biosphere is crumbling under various industrial assaults of humanity. We need expertise as never before. And what do we observe? Our “experts” are not up to Middle Ages standards.

Remedy? Always the same idea: publicly, transparently, thoroughly, debate, with peculiar attention to idiosyncratic ideas.

A public debate on fire security for Notre Dame (and similar buildings throughout the world) would have brought the question: why not a sprinkler system?

Sprinkler systems can release prodigious quantities of water. NASA uses water suppression to cut down rocket engine sound from 285 decibels (which would destroy everything when reverberating) to half that (142 decibels). To do this the NASA sprinkler system releases 60 tons of water… per second.

It’s not really new tech: New York skyscrapers had sprinklers, a century ago. Oh, by the way, 60 tons of water per second would have stopped the World Trade Center fires in… seconds. (So the WTC would not have collapsed; that happened because when steel is brought up to 500 degrees Celsius, it loses half of its strength… The steel in the WTC got progressively brought up to 500 C, after an hour, or so, from the burning of furniture… initiated by burning the kerosene of the planes… was there kerosene at Notre Dame? The French authorities decided, within minutes, that it was an accident, no Jihadist involved, they are like Allah, they know everything…)

Another question would have been: why not helicopters? The question was already asked for the World Trade Center.

Spaceship Earth is in the hand of “experts”, or those elected oligarchs we call politicians. The politicians are experts because they asked “experts”.  

Leibnitz, probably to please his Pluto sponsors, claimed we were in the best of all possible worlds.

Well, the worst possible worlds always follow the best possible worlds. Dinosaurs won’t confirm this, but they would, if they could..

Patrice Ayme

***

***

Notes: 1) In 1902, Rilke came to Paris to become Rodin’s secretary. Rodin was working on the “Gates of Hell”, a monument made for the entrance of the new Orsay Palace… which had been burned during the Commune of 1971. Rilke wrote:

“… because the great cities, Lord, are damned,

and the panic of fire simmers in their breasts.”

I saw Rodin’s “Gates of Hell”. even touched it, at a private Pluto event in Stanford University…

Where material wealth thrives, the art goes…

***

The French state of incompetency couldn’t find money to install a sprinkler system in Notre Dame… Or in another 2,000 historical buildings in France. Another cathedral burned last year or so. In Nantes. See the picture inside:

https://patriceayme.wordpress.com/2018/11/24/moods-rule-thus-california-burns-with-fire-pascal-other-jihadists-with-hatred/


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Omnes vulnerant, ultima necat

GrrrGraphics on WordPress

www.grrrgraphics.com

Skulls in the Stars

The intersection of physics, optics, history and pulp fiction

Footnotes to Plato

because all (Western) philosophy consists of a series of footnotes to Plato

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